4 Black Swans That Could Jolt The Market In 2013

Posted by David Sterman - Seeking Alpha

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saupload VIX Chart 1-25-13

A few weeks into the New Year, investors seem to be in a carefree mood. The traditional measures of volatility remain at extremely low levels. After all, the European economic crisis has calmed, budget negotiations in Washington aren’t front page news at the moment, and earnings season is unfurling without much drama (except for Apple’s (AAPL) sobering near-term outlook).

How little volatility is there in the market? The Volatility Index (VIX), which uses options trading activity as a gauge of investor fear, is at its lowest level in two years:

saupload VIX Chart 1-25-13

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