Brighter Outlook for Commodities Suggests a Fresh Look at Investment Benefits and Risks

Posted by Pimco - Canadian Perspectives

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Screen Shot 2017-04-25 at 7.28.19 AM

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Returns in the commodities markets have improved over the past year amid stronger macroeconomic activity and supply-side tightening, and our outlook for the next 12 months has brightened.

While considerable uncertainties remain for all commodity sectors, we believe the worst market trends may be behind us. As we look ahead to the next 12 months, commodities will likely reclaim a diversifying role in portfolios, given growing inflation risks and shrinking correlations between commodities and other assets.

At this point in the business cycle, we think investors should consider positioning commodities allocations to at least match benchmark targets, if not modestly exceed them.

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