We have chronicled the on-going efforts by government to target Canadian small businesses and professionals. We are pleased to be able to recommend an opportunity to learn several key ways Private Corporation Shareholders dramatically cut their income tax.

Andrew Ruhland and the team at Integrated Wealth Management are putting on a series of LIVE workshops across Western Canada. Seating is extremely limited so we suggest you reserve a space today. 

CLICK HERE to register

Calgary – April 3rd, 5th, 9th & 14th

Edmonton – April 4th

Victoria – April 10th

Vancouver – April 11th & 12th

Langley – April 12th

Exploiting inefficiencies using two recent examples, Facebook and Nvidia (the artificial intelligence/self driving stock). In the one case selling is justified, in the other buying the panic makes more sense – R. Zurrer for Money Talks

The Efficient Market Hypothesis is a mainstay of academic thinking about financial markets. It is rejected by many traders and money managers. Warren Buffett, for example, famously said that he would be on a corner, selling pencils from a tin cup if markets were efficient.

I do not expect to settle this decades-long debate in a single blog post. Instead, I will share how my own personal thinking changed along with my career – from college professor, to financial analyst, and to investment manager. I hope to stimulate and to provoke; we can all benefit from some wise comments. I will also suggest a few ideas we might consider to exploit inefficiency.

Provocative Examples

It is often useful to have a specific example in mind. Let’s start with Facebook (FB), a company familiar to all. Here is a chart of recent stock action:

….continue reading HERE

Zero interest rates, ballooning 230 Trillion in Global Government debt will ultimately set up as Voltaire said “Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value — zero.”. There are a lot of dangers and history tells us what we can expect. Even former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan warns about the existing bond and stock bubbles. Gary Christensen spells out what investors must do to protect themselves in this well written article – R. Zurrer for Money Talks. 

Shooting Ourselves In the Foot

Serious problems affect Americans. Problems first, solutions at the end! 

We did what to ourselves? Our representatives, senators, and Presidents, supposedly acting on our behalf, voted for and created what history has shown are huge monetary and fiscal mistakes.

Some will disagree, but consider this partial list:

1 – Central banking and The Federal Reserve Act: Enough money was spread around Washington D.C. to purchase the passage of this self-serving banking monstrosity. It was signed into law by President Wilson over a century ago.

David Stockman has a clear assessment and firm opinions regarding the danger and destructiveness of the Central Bank. His statement is:

“Folks, these people aren’t totally stupid. They have amassed extraordinary power and plenary dominance over the nation’s $19 trillion capitalist economy only by assiduously cultivating the mother of all Big Lies. Namely, the myth that private capitalism is dangerously unstable and possessed of an economic death wish for periodic cyclical collapses, which can be forestalled only by the deft interventions of the central bank.

“That’s self-serving malarkey, of course. Every recession of the modern Keynesian era has been caused by the Federal Reserve, and most especially the calamity of 2008-2009. And the “recovery” from that one, as well as those stretching back to the 1950s, was owing to the inherent regenerative powers of the free market, not the interest rate and credit supply machinations of the Fed.

“So what we really have is a case of the monetary Wizard of Oz. There is nothing behind the Eccles Building curtain except a posse of essentially incompetent economic kibitzers who spend 90% of the time slamming the same old “buy” key on the Fed’s digital printing press, while falsely claiming credit for the inherent growth propensity of private capitalism.”

2 – Fiat Currencies: When the currency is backed by nothing it will become worthless. Voltaire recognized this fact centuries ago when he said, “Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value — zero.”

Dollar bills (paper and digital) are “Notes” – DEBTS of the Federal Reserve. They are not money, but are merely an “IOU” issued by the Fed. We are legally required to use these “IOUs” for taxes and commerce.

3 – Fractional Reserve Banking: Allowing commercial banks to loan dollars into existence creates rising prices and much mischief. The Treasury will not condone individuals counterfeiting Federal Reserve Notes, but they allow commercial banks to do the equivalent.

4 – Too Big To Fail: They have created the myth that certain banks are too large and must not be allowed to fail. The Fed and large banks promoted this self-serving nonsense.

5 – Regulatory Capture: Create an agency to oversee banks (pharmaceutical companies, military contractors, securities sales etc.) and staff the agency with “tainted” members from the same industry.

Example: The SEC did not discover the Madoff scam even after receiving detailed analysis from Harry Markpolous showing how to prove the Ponzi scheme. Madoff confessed and the SEC was late to the game.

6 – Derivatives: They are profitable for banks at the expense of the economy. Failed derivatives nearly killed the economy in 2008. A larger disaster is coming.

7 – Banks Own and Strongly Influence Politicians and the Media: No discussion needed.

8 – We Live In a Credit Based World: Banks skim a piece off most transactions. Has “financializing” everything improved the lives of the citizens? What happens if credit dries up – again – as it did in 2008? Will existing bank loans be called, will ATM’s cease functioning, will world trade crash?

9 – War on Cash: Banks demand maximum control, which means they want our assets, liabilities and transactions digitized inside their world. If all assets are “banked,” the only escape is cash – UNLESS CASH IS OUTLAWED. Once assets are “banked” then banks can confiscate assets via negative interest rates, transaction fees, and monthly charges.

10 – Central Banks Lowered Interest Rates to Near Zero: Rates went negative in Europe. Your “high interest” checking account probably pays less than 0.05% interest. Savers, insurance companies, and pension plans have been damaged by low interest rates, but those low rates benefitted bank profits.

11 – U.S. Government Deficit Spending: The Treasury borrows every month, spends more than its revenues, increases debt, and pretends all is well. The “debt ceiling” is a joke. Read 38,000 Tons of Poison.

George Carlin: “It’s a big club and you ain’t in it.”

SOLUTIONS:

If you aren’t a member of the political and financial elite, you’re not in “The Club.” All is not lost, but non-members must protect themselves. We should admit:

• Fiat currencies are corrupt. The dollar has been devalued by about 98% in the century since the Fed was created. Because debt and spending will accelerate in the next decade, the rate of devaluation will increase.
• The financial system has failed to meet the needs of the bottom 95%. According to official and flawed data, CPI adjusted wages have been stagnant or have declined since President Nixon severed the dollar from gold in 1971. The reality is worse because this data is produced by the agency that calculates the flawed cost of living statistics.
• The global economy is overwhelmed by debt – over $230 trillion. The U.S. economy is in debt over $60 trillion. Official U.S. government debt exceeds $20 trillion. This debt will be repaid in devalued dollars – or it will default. The (failed) solution to an excessive debt problem has been – and will continue to be – MORE DEBT!
• The “powers-that-be” will not relinquish power, authority, wealth or perks voluntarily. They have “made a mess of it” but accountability is no longer relevant. The Fed does NOT have your back….

Given the above, protect yourself!

It is time to exchange digital and paper assets into real assets – silver, gold, land, fine art, apartment buildings – whatever will retain value as the stock, bond and currencies bubbles implode. Even Greenspan warns about the bond and stock bubbles.

WHAT STOCK BUBBLE?

This article was originally written for Miles Franklin by Gary Christenson. Link is here.

Miles Franklin will convert digital assets into real assets. My first choice is silver, not Netflix, not Amazon, not the NASDAQ 100, and not bonds. Do your own due diligence, but protect your savings and retirement with hard assets.

Gary Christenson

This analysis gives you the current position and expected future trend of Gold, the S&P500 and Gold stocks as represented by the GDX, a Gold Miners ETF which tracks the overall performance of companies involved in the gold mining industry.

The method of analysis used is the Ellliottwave theory, which measures the waves and cycles of individual markets or stocks. As Martin Armstrong says, everything is cycles, so this is a very good method of analysis invented by Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948) and practiced by many including Jack Crooks to forecast movements. It is a complicated system, but fortunately this analyst does the work. The forecasts are fascinating. – Robert Zurrer for Money Talks: 

Gold: 

Short Term Update:

While we sold off a bit last night, the big picture on the daily chart is that wave ^ii^ is complete at the 1309.00 low and we now expect to rally sharply in wave ^iii^.

Click Chart For Full Size 

Our first projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is: ^iii^ = 1.618^i^=1514.65.

We appear to have completed wave $i$ at 1364.40 and are now falling in wave $ii$. Our retracement levels for wave $ii$ are:

50% = 1336.70;

61.8% = 1330.20.

Upon completion of wave $ii$ we expect a  sharp rally in wave $iii$ that should break above resistance at the 1365.00/1377.00 level.

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.  

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops.

S&P500: 

Short Term Update:

The S&P was higher in Friday’s day session reaching a high of 2754.42. In the overnight session the S&P Futures are down about 14 points.

Click Chart For Full Size

Wave .i. is complete at the 2532.69 low and we are now rallying in wave .ii., which may now be complete at the 2754.72 high. If that is the case then we should be on guard for a very step drop in wave .iii., as being the next big event in this market. This drop, if our wave counts are correct, will be much larger that wave .i., and it will send this market below the red up trend line, as shown on the Daily S&P Chart.  

Trading Recommendation: Short it with a stop at 2873.00

Active Positions: Very Short with calls at various levels as stops!

GDX: 

Short Term Update:

The GDX traded lower in Friday’s day session and is soft in today’s action.  The bottom line:  

Wave ii is complete at the 20.84 low, and our sharp wave iii rally is now underway.

Click Chart For Full Size

Our first projection for the end of wave iii is :iii = 1.618i = 32.38.

We also expect that wave iii will turn into a 5 wave impulsive sequence, of which wave -i- of (i) of iii ended at 23.15 and we are now falling in wave -ii-.  Our retracement levels for wave -ii- are:

50% = 22.00;

61.8% = 21.72.

Upon completion of wave -ii- we expect a very sharp rally in wave -iii-, to be the next big event in this market.

We provide updates for the gold stocks/indices below starting this week:

Kinross: TBA

Barrick: Wave (ii) ended at the 12.60 low, which is the 61.8% retracement level., as shown on the Monthly Barrick Chart. We are now rallying in an explosive wave (iii), which has a projection of 41.68.

Newmont: TBA

SSR: TBA

HUI: Wave ii likely ended at the 170.81 low, as shown on the Long Term HUI Chart. Wave iii higher should now be underway.

XAU: TBA

Trading Recommendation: Buy Barrick Stock, for a long term hold.

Active Positions: We are long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSR, and TSX:XGD with no stops!!

Free Trades Offer For Website Readers: Send me an email to admin@captainewave.com and I’ll send you my next couple short term ewave trades for free!

Thank-you!

Captain Ewave & Crew!

Email: admin@captainewave.com

Website: www.captainewave.com

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