Bonds & Interest Rates
New Age monetary policy has begun to resemble the form of insanity in which a patient repeats the same behavior while expecting a different outcome.
Throughout the developed world, interest rates are at record lows and central banks continue to pump out newly-created currency. Yet growth remains tepid, inflation is nonexistent and debt of every type continues to mount. And instead of recognizing that somewhere in their guiding theory lurks a fatal flaw, governments and central banks just keep upping the ante. Today it was Europe, where central banks have been expanding their balance sheets (i.e. running the printing presses) aggressively.…
….…and forcing down interest rates…



“The story of 2016 will be the emerging negative interest rate world and its many, many unintended consequences.”
Not so long ago, a bank was by definition a business that took deposits from customers, paid them for the use of their money, and lent the cash to other customers at a profit. But that’s not how it works anymore:
Big banks to big American companies: We don’t want your cash
(MarketWatch) – State Street Corp., the Boston bank that manages assets for institutional investors, for the first time has begun charging some customers for large dollar deposits,people familiar with the matter said. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., the nation’s largest bank by assets, has cut unwanted deposits by more than $150 billion this year, in part by charging fees.
The developments underscore a deepening conflict over cash. Many businesses have large sums on hand and opportunities to profitably invest it appear scarce. But banks don’t want certain kinds of cash either, judging it costly to keep, and some are imposing fees after jawboning customers to move it.
The banks’ actions are driven by profit-crunching low interest rates and regulations adopted since the financial crisis to gird banks against funding disruptions.
The latest fees center on large sums deemed risky by regulators, sometimes dubbed hot-money deposits thought likely to flee during times of crises. Finalized last September and overseen by the Federal Reserve and other regulators, the rule involving the liquidity coverage ratio forces banks to hold high-quality liquid assets, such as central bank reserves and government debt, to cover projected deposit losses over 30 days. Banks must hold reserves of as much as 40% against certain corporate deposits and as much as 100% against some deposits from hedge funds.
“At some point you wonder whether there will be a shortage of financial institutions willing to take on these balances,” said Kelli Moll, head of Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP’s hedge-fund practice in New York, saying that where to hold cash has become an increasing topic of conversation as hedge funds are shown the door by long-time banking counterparties.
This comes at a time when corporations are raising record amounts of cash by issuing bonds:
Corporate bond issuance tops $1 trillion in U.S.
(MarketWatch) – Corporate bond issuance in the U.S. reached $1.04 trillion through Thursday, the highest level through that period of a year on record, according to Dealogic. It marks the second time U.S.-marketed corporate bond issuance has crossed $1 trillion in the first nine months of the year, the first coming in 2013.
Strong investment-grade activity, acquisition-related bond issuance and jumbo deals have all contributed to the record volume.
The average deal size for U.S.-marketed corporate bond deals so far this year has reached $992.5 million through Thursday, according to Dealogic, the fifth consecutive year-on-year increase. That size compares to a global average deal size of $412.12 million year to date.
The volume of U.S.-marketed deals of $10 billion or more has more than doubled to $164 billion from the previous high for same period in 2013.
Negative interest rates can take many forms, including higher fees that lower or negate the interest a bank pays for deposits, or limitations on what customers can do with deposited funds that lower the real value of those funds. So banks charging fees on deposits are functionally the same as banks offering negative rates to customers.
With the global economy slowing dramatically, led by plunging corporate profits, US interest rates will have to fall in 2016. And cash will have to be marginalized or made obsolete in order to get rates down to where they have a stimulative effect.
So the story of 2016 will be the emerging negative interest rate world and its many, many unintended consequences.
About John Rubino
DollarCollapse.com is managed by John Rubino, co-author, with GoldMoney’s James Turk, of The Money Bubble (DollarCollapse Press, 2014) and The Collapse of the Dollar and How to Profit From It (Doubleday, 2007), and author of Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green-Tech Boom (Wiley, 2008), How to Profit from the Coming Real Estate Bust (Rodale, 2003) and Main Street, Not Wall Street (Morrow, 1998). After earning a Finance MBA from New York University, he spent the 1980s on Wall Street, as a Eurodollar trader, equity analyst and junk bond analyst. During the 1990s he was a featured columnist with TheStreet.com and a frequent contributor to Individual Investor, Online Investor, and Consumers Digest, among many other publications. He currently writes for CFA Magazine.

Peter Schiff on the Fed, also Elections No Big Deal for Canada’s Dollar is an article that was “curated by the editorial staff at Euro Pacific Capital to keep you up-to-date with the most vital market information.”
About Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff, the Euro Pacific Capital’s President and CEO. He is known for his vocal and unpopular bearish views of the U.S. economy, voiced prior to the 2008 financial crisis, many of which were outlined in his 5 bestselling books, including “Crash Proof: How To Profit From The Coming Economic Collapse.” Mr. Schiff leads our experienced and diverse team of managers, researchers, consultants and support staff – a team that is literally scanning the globe for investment opportunities – by endeavoring to deliver the highest possible value for our clients

….And The Debt Market Is Starting To Realize That
“when looking at the dramatic change in the market landscape when the first cracks in the central planning facade became evident and it appeared that central banks are in the process of rapidly losing credibility”
“as central banks have continued pumping record amount of liquidity in the market, the market’s response has been increasingly shaky (in no small part due to the surge in the dollar and the resulting Emerging Market debt crisis), and in the case of Junk bonds, a downright disaster.
“models linking QE to markets seem to have broken down.“
