Gold & Precious Metals

Will Swiss negative deposit rate affect gold?

swissgoldIn what could be described as a rather stunning move, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has decided to cut the interest rate on sight deposits at the SNB into negative territory. This move was necessary to defend the currency against renewed speculative positions which pushed the EUR/CHF exchange rate down again, thus increasing the pressure on the Swiss economy. As the volatility on the financial markets moved up, market participants were once again running towards the Swiss Franc as it’s still considered to be one of the few ‘safe haven’ currencies out there….

CLICK HERE for the complete article

Big Picture Investing

visual capitalistIdentifying over-arching trends is integral to successful fundamental investing. The folks at Visual Capitalist created a fascinating breakdown of some of the key macro-trends of the past year. “Motif investing enables you to invest in the world around you…….” 

CLICK HERE to see the infographic 

Bullish Reversal in Miners But Metals Remain in Question

mining-resize-300x236The gold and silver stocks have put in a bullish weekly reversal but gold and silver have not confirmed it. The interplay between the metals and the shares has been complicated in recent weeks.

Gold and silver are charted below in weekly candle format. Before this week the metals looked bullish. Each tested support and rebounded strongly towards resistance. However, both metals gave back much of the recent gains. Bulls would say they are correcting and still in position to test resistance. Bears would say the metals failed to reach resistance and are headed to new lows.

dec19edgs

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Though the mining stocks are selling off today (Friday), they’ve completed a bullish reversal and double bottom on most weekly charts. Below we plot GDXJ, GDX and our Top 40 index. Other than GDXJ just about every miner index has completed a double bottom. Though GDXJ made a new low it did form a bullish reversal. GDX and the Top 40 index formed bullish hammers and potential double bottoms. We say “potential” double bottoms for a reason. The double bottom is a very bullish pattern in which the market should explode up from the second bottom. Only time will tell if the miners follow that path or if the reversal fizzles.

dec19edminers

 

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Interestingly, the metals and the miners have been disjointed in recent weeks. Gold lost 2% this week while Silver lost 6% yet the miners put in a positive reversal. During the two prior weeks metals rebounded strongly yet miners sold off. Part of that could be tax loss selling in the miners which has created additional weakness.

Investors and traders have a good setup in the miners. Downside support is defined by the double bottom. A weekly close below that could be the stop out point and would limit losses. Meanwhile, if the metals are destined to take out their October highs then the miners should explode higher sooner rather than later. After 2013 tax loss selling, GDXJ rebounded over 50% within two months. We are working hard to prepare subscribers for this opportunity.

The Daily Gold

 

Gold & The Century Of China

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Today’s videos:

Gold Volume Surge Charts Analysis

Silver Short Term Buy Signal Charts Analysis

FXI Century Of China Charts Analysis

GDX Happy New Year Charts Analysis

GDXJ Bull Wedge Charts Analysis

Thanks,

Morris 

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Send an email to trading@superforcesignals.com and I’ll send you 3 of my next Super Force Surge Signals free of charge, as I send them to paid subscribers. Thank you!

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In summary: It is important to keep open minds about the nature of these metal trading systems, pulling together disparately sourced information to form a mosaic to see with time the big picture. Not all information is material. However, with time, we will be able to see the greater market picture and be able understand and to act to stabilize our markets and monetary system.

1) Reuters and CME providing silver fix each day HERE.

Reuters has a history of acting as a propaganda arm of the UK Government during WWI and WWII, took secret subsidies from the UK Government in the 1980s and 1990s, and has recently been accused of fraudulently reporting stories from Iraq, Syria, Lebanon etc.

Samples of Reuters’ allegedly fraudulent reporting:

Were the Reuters “Boy in a Syrian Bomb Factory” Photos Staged?

Reuters Fake News

Iraqi Oil Ministry Threatens To Sue Reuters and AFP for False Reports On Terrorists Controlling Baiji refinery

Historically, silver has been the day-to-day monetary medium of exchange while gold was reserved for higher-value transactions.

LBMA has had a problem with apparently collusive and fraudulent setting of gold and silver prices and the LBMA’s response to the alleged fraud and collusion is to set a new daily silver price with including a party that has been repeatedly acted as a UK Gov propaganda agent and that has also repeatedly been alleged to engage in fraudulent reporting.

2) Further evidence of gold market problems – major metals market participants are leaving in rapid succession:

Allegations of crimes committed at the LBMA (85% of daily global gold trading volume).

Central issue appears to be multiple claims to bars through rehypothecation / repeated lending of the same assets, unallocated metal instruments creating multiple claims per bar, etc.

Engaging in fraudulent trade or in assets with multiple claims or fraudulent title potentially implicates parties involved in the transactions.

Class action suits of defrauded gold and silver LBMA investors is possible and these companies may be exiting the physical space as a defensive move.

One piece of a mosaic and worthy of tracking for other precious metals players departing this space as the metals markets are scrutinized.

3) James Turk – central banks almost exclusively occupy the gold lease market at the LBMA

With 5 billion oz. of gold globally above ground, if leasing of gold only provided by central banks then that is further evidence of market failure (private gold not available for lease for paper profit).

Artificiality of the physical gold market would be indicated by central banks as sole presence in market sectors where substantial paper profit could be generated.

http://kingworldnews.com/here-is-the-reason-gold-silver-spiked-after-comex-close/

Overall, serious problems appear to exist and questions are being raised re. the LBMA gold and silver markets.

Gordon Brown showed in 1999 by selling 400 tonnes of the British People’s gold at $250/oz. to solve a gold ‘crisis’ for London traders that the UK gov was acting in the interests of the City of London traders and not UK citizens.

There are 170,000 tonnes of gold available above ground. Why sell 400 tonnes of the UK citizens’ gold at market bottom?

Holding gold positions at the LBMA appears to expose investors to risk of numerous claims per ounce of gold putatively available.

Russia and China have announced they are no longer accumulating USD denominated assets. They are actively buying gold and other real assets with their trade generated USD currency and moving to a new, stable currency system as the USD/Euro western paper money system collapses on itself.

http://www.gold-eagle.com/article/grandmaster-putins-golden-trap

LBMA hides statistics from public scrutiny regarding open interest, leverage, etc.

A new open trading platform for gold, silver, and PGM’s is needed.

4) Scale: Oil trade dollar volume vs gold trade dollar volume

On daily production basis, 15x more dollar volume of oil is produced each day vs dollar volume of gold produced each day

Daily oil futures trading volume on NYMEX: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude_quotes_volume_voi.html

1.2 M futures contracts per day or 1.2 Billion bbls per day

At $60 bbl oil, $72 billion per day of oil futures traded on the NYMEX

Compare London LBMA gold trade: http://www.lbma.org.uk/Clearing-Statistics

October 2014 saw 17.4 million oz. gold per day (net settled) or 174 million oz. of gold per day gross daily trading volume using the LMBA’s 10x gross volume vs net settled trading volume.

http://www.lbma.org.uk/assets/Loco_London_Liquidity_Surveyrv.pdf

At $1,200 per oz., that is $209 billion of gold traded each day in London (85% of global daily gold trading volume).

Daily gold trading dollar volume in London is 3x daily oil trading in NY on the NYMEX exchange.

5) Saville article – a typical view of the gold market ignoring the distortion of gold and silver leverage in the physical market

http://tsi-blog.com/2014/11/most-gold-market-analysts-dont-understand-the-most-basic-law-of-economics

  • Look at 2,900 tonne annual mine supply of gold because it is a liquid supply of gold. Gold is tightly held and fluctuations as to how much available to the market
  • Saville confuses supply and demand of real metal vs LBMA supply of ‘physical’ metal
  • By leveraging forwards, multiple times and selling ‘unallocated’ virtual gold, artificial physical supply is artificially created allowing the steering of the gold price while market participants sit in virtual ‘physical’ gold positions on the LBMA.
  • Key is that, as with all Ponzi schemes, investors must be kept sanguine – gold withdrawn from the exchange will quickly collapse the leveraged physical metal system and the market itself.

In summary, it is important to keep open minds about the nature of these metal trading systems, pulling together disparately sourced information to form a mosaic to see with time the big picture. Not all information is material. However, with time, we will be able to see the greater market picture and be able understand and to act to stabilize our markets and monetary system.