Timing & trends

 

KEY POINTS
  • TSA officers screened the highest number of passengers on a single day since March 15, 2020.
  • Air travel is starting to pick up again after a challenging year for travel caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.
  • Passengers on Friday were still 20% lower than the number of passengers on the same day last year, and down nearly 38% from 2019.

TSA officers screened 1,357,111 people at airports on Friday, marking the highest number of passengers on a single day since March 15, 2020.

The milestone reflects that air travel is starting to pick up again after a challenging year for airlines caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.

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Escaping the Urban Lockdown – Rural Property Demand Booms

The decade long term trend of urban home owners taking advantage of the price differential between city and small town pricing has been further accelerated by the desire for more space and land in the pandemic and post-pandemic age.

As Frank O’Brien detailed in his recent Business in Vancouver article, the data is clearly showing a surge in urban buyers seeking BC acreage, waterfront and small community living.  In addition, some buyers are also seeking recreational and income-generating properties – and a key market driver being that these buyers are coming from across Canada.

The fact that this is not a new, but an accelerating phenomenon, can be seen from some fascinating 2019 data reported by Better Dwelling. Of the 45,000 people who left Greater Vancouver that year more than 70% moved to smaller communities in BC.

So the big question for those still considering a move or purchase to escape the trials of packed city life – where are prime properties still available and are there reasonable values to be had?

One answer is the East Kootenay’s and the communities of Cranbrook, Kimberly, Fernie and Creston. Tucked away in the south east corner of the province this part of BC has lagged behind it’s Okanagan neighbour when it comes to attracting tourism and recreational visitors. Of course the benefit is that it has not suffered the price surge, development or growth woes of the Okanagan valley either. But it only takes one trip to discover that the East Kootenay’s are an amazing combination of the best of BC wine country and the best of the Rocky Mountains combined.

Whether you’re considering retirement, a second home in the country or an investment property – you’d do well to look at this area. For more details and some specific opportunities currently available CLICK HERE.

Nina Parente is a broker and real estate advisor with Rennie & Assoc.

Gold Production Expected to Rise in 2021

In their recent Industry report Raymond James analysts Farooq Hamed and Judith Elliot expect significant rebounds for precious metal producers in 2021.

According to Mr. Hamed, “in general, precious and base metals producers continued to generate positive [free cash flow] in the fourth quarter of 2020, however at lower levels than in the previous quarter due to lower quarterly average gold prices. We expect increasing production over the next three years.”

In most cases, this involves a return to ‘normal’ operations after 2020 was marked by downtime caused by Covid-related shutdowns. Among precious metal producers the report expects strong production gains from are firms like Agnico Eagle, Yamana Gold and Calibre Mining.

Interesting to note that Raymond James has Calibre (TSX:CXB) as a “strong buy”, and BMO Nesbitt Burns has also started Calibre Mining coverage with a “market perform” rating. You can watch Ryan King’s complete Calibre Mining presentation from the 2021 World Outlook Financial Conference, along with 15 other precious metals companies HERE.

Elsewhere Mr Hamed and Ms. Elliott see exploration spending ticking up across the sector. With improved balance sheets and a focus on replacing reserves, producers are providing forward looking guidance of significant increases in 2021 exploration budgets.

At the same time operating costs are generally expected to be higher year over year as companies factor in additional health and safety costs related to Covid protocols and higher inputs on cost inflation.

U.S. Imposes New 5G License Limits on Some Huawei Suppliers

 

The 5G ban is effective as of this week, according to the people, who asked not to be identified to discuss nonpublic communications.

The rules create a more explicit prohibition on the export of components like semiconductors, antennas and batteries for Huawei 5G devices, making the ban more uniform among licensees. Some companies had previously received licenses that allowed them to keep shipping components to Huawei that the Chinese company may have then used in 5G equipment, while other companies were already subject to tighter restrictions.

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What sectors will benefit from the $1.9T stimulus bill?

 

How might the stock markets respond to the historic bill? One way to find out is to study the past.

Financial analytics firm Toggle AI looked at the performance of US stocks after 5 other historic stimulus bills:

  • 2001: Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act
  • 2008: Economic Stimulus Act
  • 2009: American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
  • 2017: Tax Cut and Jobs Act
  • 2020: CARES Act

Its analysis shows that Consumer Discretionary is the top-performing S&P 500 sector 3 months after these bills are signed into law.

When the cheddar hits, investors look to anticipate significant consumer spending and have historically targeted names like Nike, Starbucks, Home Depot, Target, and McDonald’s (’cause nothing says “pent-up demand” like people crushing Big Macs).

Which sector has historically been the loser? The boring old Utilities sector, with an average return of -3.3% over this span

Full Study