Energy & Commodities
Our team at Lomiko Metals has been monitoring actions by the government of Canada and the US that are focused on reducing dependence on Chinese supply of graphite, lithium and other electric vehicle battery materials. Canada and the US have worked closely and confirmed supply agreements between themselves.
President Donald Trump recently signed an Executive Order entitled Executive Order on Addressing the Threat to the Domestic Supply Chain from Reliance on Critical Minerals from Foreign Adversaries, which is focused on creating North American suppliers of Battery Materials.
Excerpts from Executive Order:
“…the United States is 100 percent reliant on imports for graphite, which is used to make advanced batteries for cellphones, laptops, and hybrid and electric cars. China produces over 60 percent of the world’s graphite and almost all of the world’s production of high-purity graphite needed for rechargeable batteries.”
“(i) the United States develops secure critical minerals supply chains that do not depend on resources or processing from foreign adversaries;
(ii) the United States establishes, expands, and strengthens commercially viable critical minerals mining and minerals processing capabilities; and
(iii) the United States develops globally competitive, substantial, and resilient domestic commercial supply chain capabilities for critical minerals mining and processing.”
In September, Congressmen Lance Gooden (R-TX) and Vicente Gonzalez (D-TX) recently introduced a bill that seeks to decrease the U.S.’s dependence on China for critical metals. The bill, dubbed the Reclaiming American Rare Earths (RARE) Act, aims to establish tax incentives for domestic production of rare earths.
The Congressmen statement sounds the alarm regarding critical metals production: “The United States is more dependent than ever on the importation of the resources that drive our economy, enable us to build advanced technology, and ensure our national security,” Gooden’s office said in a release. “Thirty-five of these rare earth minerals are designated by the Department of Interior as ‘critical’, and we source fourteen of them entirely from foreign suppliers. China is a leading supplier for twenty-two of the thirty-five. The RARE Act is specifically designed to change that.”
Earlier this year, Sen. Ted Cruz introduced similar legislation, dubbed the Onshoring Rare Earths Act of 2020, or ORE Act. Further, on December 18, 2019 Canada announced that it had joined the U.S.-led multilateral Energy Resource Governance Initiative (ERGI). ERGI aims to support secure and resilient supply chains for critical minerals by identifying options to diversify supply chains and facilitate trade and industry connections.
Canada, and especially Quebec, are perfectly situated to supply the U.S. with many of the critical minerals it is seeking to secure due to an extensive selection of mineral projects. Also, strong political and economic ties, a stable political, economic and regulatory environment and a robust metals and mining sector. Of the 35 critical metals identified by the U.S., Canada is a sizable supplier of 13 of such minerals including graphite, lithium and manganese to the U.S. and the second-largest supplier of niobium, tungsten and magnesium. Canada also supplies approximately one quarter of the U.S. uranium needs.
The only operating graphite mine in North America, the Imerys Graphite & Carbon at Lac-des-Îles, is only 30 miles northwest of Lomiko’s La Loutre property. These announcements bode well for our plans to develop a new producing graphite mine as demand is expected to increase exponentially for the mined natural graphite material, as more is used in the production of spherical graphite for graphite in the anode portion of Electric Vehicle Lithium-ion batteries.

As COVID-19 developments and the path of global economic recovery remain key points of concern and uncertainty for businesses and investors, financial markets continue to look ahead and currently indicate a better than expected future. Global markets continued to advance during the third quarter of 2020, driven by supportive monetary and fiscal policies, positive vaccine and anti-viral treatment developments, improving economic data, and so on. A number of stock indices, such as the S&P 500, have rallied back to near pre-Covid levels. This can certainly feel like a disconnect from the real economy, where many businesses are either shutting down or operating only at partial capacity.
There is a reason for the disconnect. Despite the remarkable rally on the surface (i.e. at the index level), the recovery has been extremely uneven underneath the hood (i.e. at the sector level). The rally has been led mostly by the Technology sector (driven by large, mega-capitalization growth stocks and work-from-home related stocks), while the economically sensitive sectors, such as Industrials, Financials, and Energy are still lagging in the recovery. Because larger companies carry a bigger weight in the index, the big technology stocks were able to pull the overall index along as they advanced. To use a sports analogy, it’s like the situation where a superstar basketball player can carry the entire team and deliver a victory. However, this type of narrow leadership and heavy reliance on a superstar sector (or group of technology stocks) increases concentration risk and is likely not sustainable. Hence, it is important to see a sustained rotation in the form of capital reallocation back into the economically sensitive sectors to signal a sustainable economic recovery going forward.
Given that major financial markets are near pre-Covid levels again, where could we go from here? As is often the case, some investors will be bullish (positive), while others will be bearish (negative) on the markets. The beauty of the markets is that they have something for everyone, in the sense that it is easy to find evidence to support our viewpoint and confirm our biases if we are not careful.
The bulls will point to:
- Don’t fight the Fed (massive monetary stimulus from central banks)
- Additional government fiscal stimulus is coming (between $1.6 and $2.4 trillion is expected in the U.S.)
- Positive vaccine and anti-viral treatment developments (multiple vaccines are in their final phase 3 trials)
- Improving economic data with actual data beating expectations (we are past the economic trough)
- Sentiment surveys show that investor sentiment is still bearish (often a contrarian indicator at extremes)
The bears will point to:
- COVID-19 is still here with increasing cases and deaths; a second wave could be coming in the fall or winter
- Vaccine efficacy and distribution challenges; people’s level of willingness to take the vaccine
- Stock valuations are stretched with narrow leadership and excessive speculation in technology stocks
- Economic recovery is flattening out after the initial bounce from the trough
- U.S. election uncertainty; a contested U.S. election could create market anxiety (such as Bush vs. Gore in 2000)
The list can go on for both sides. To have a balanced viewpoint, we on the Investment Committee at McIver Capital Management must consider the positives and negatives. Furthermore, we have to consider the weight of each factor as an input into the market, which is a complex system.
Overall, our view is to expect short-term volatility and potential weakness heading into the U.S. election, but longer-term strength beginning almost immediately following the declaration of a winner. As long as governments and central banks are willing to do whatever it takes to support their economies, the markets will have a counter force against economic shutdowns while COVID-19 vaccines are being finalized.


If Joe Biden becomes the next president of the United States, the energy industry will feel the pinch, with onshore gas and offshore oil being the most vulnerable industry segments, Moody’s has said, as quoted by Natural Gas Intelligence.
The Democrat candidate has already made public a clean energy plan that will cost $1.7 trillion and that will focus on research and development of new clean energy solutions to the climate crisis.
This in itself would be negative for the oil and gas industry, if successful, as it will dampen demand for their products. But Biden has also promised his voters to stop offering new offshore oil and gas leases and to ban new drilling on federal land, even though he stopped short of promising a ban on fracking.
But federal leases for oil and gas production accounted for more than a fifth of the United States’ annual oil and gas production last year. Oil from offshore fields in the Gulf of Mexico accounted for 64 percent of oil output from federal lands, Moody’s senior oil and gas analyst John Thieroff said in a note this week…CLICK for complete article

The Federal Reserve imposed a penalty of $400 million on Citigroup Inc on Wednesday and asked the latter to “correct several longstanding deficiencies.”
What Happened: Citigroup failed to take “prompt and effective actions” to correct practices the regulator previously identified, particularly in compliance risk management, data quality management, and internal controls, the Federal Reserve Board said in a statement.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which oversees Citibank, imposed a $400 million civil money penalty against the New York-headquartered bank, the regulator said in a separate statement.
“We are disappointed that we have fallen short of our regulators’ expectations, and we are fully committed to thoroughly addressing the issues identified in the Consent Orders,” Citigroup said in a statement issued in response.
Why It Matters: In August, Citibank came under fire as it accidentally wired $900 million to several companies that provided loans to cosmetics firm Revlon Inc and consequently struggled to recover the amount as the recipients refused to return the funds, CNN reported…CLICK for complete article
