Stocks & Equities
Nokia shares plunged 25% on Thursday after management warned its 2019/2020 profits would be disastrous after a delay in earnings from 5G networks, reported Bloomberg. As a result of the abrupt revision in outlook, the Finnish telecom network equipment maker cut its 2020 forecast and suspended a dividend to investors.
Nokia says 2019 EPS is around 0.18 to 0.24 euros for 2019 and will be around 0.20 to 0.30 euros in 2020. Earlier this year, the telecom maker was expecting EPS to be about 0.25 to 0.29 euros for 2019, and 2020 EPS of 0.37 to 0.42 euros, a dramatic revision lower, which is what spooked investors to panic sell the stock into one of the worst declines in the company’s history in nearly three decades. The last time Nokia puked this hard, most millennial traders weren’t even born….CLICK for complete article

New orders for durable goods, designed to last more than three years, fell -1.1% in September, indicating softening business investment. This represents a big miss in orders which were forecast at a -0.2% drop. Thursday’s report from the Commerce Department indicates an ongoing trend in business spending, with the decline is likely a result of the ongoing trade war between China and the United States.
The latest Commerce Department report indicates that business investment continues to soften due to uncertainty around the trade war. Businesses are planning to spend less on equipment, indicated by a -0.5% drop in non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft (core capital goods orders). Demand for transportation equipment, motor vehicle parts, and computer and electronic products fell last month…CLICK for complete article

Daryl Morey had no idea the tweet he published on Oct. 4 would ignite a firestorm that continues to rage.
But that’s exactly what happened.
Morey is the general manager of the Houston Rockets, in one of the world’s most popular sports leagues: the National Basketball Association (NBA).
The tweet that Morey sent out into the social media world was simple. It contained none of his own typed words; it merely displayed an image.
That simple image, with the words “Fight For Freedom, Stand With Hong Kong,” ignited a firestorm and called attention to a dynamic that had been working quietly beneath the surface.
And that dynamic is how China has been positioning itself for economic and cultural dominance.
China presents a vast market that has many U.S. companies wishing for unrestricted access. The NBA is hardly alone in this regard. But few Western corporations have so solidly joined themselves at the hip with China the way the NBA has.
This is why the American people were treated to the startling sight of prominent NBA players and coaches stuttering and mumbling their way through interviews when asked to comment on China’s atrocious human rights record—something that has taken center stage again recently because of the Hong Kong democracy protests, as well as a video of hundreds of blindfolded Uyghurs being shipped off to a detention facility….CLICK for complete article

Opening day is a glorious time for baseball fans. Warmer temperatures and blooming shrubbery are on their way, and more importantly, their favorite teams will begin a stretch of 162 games that culminates with a best-of-seven battle between the American and National League champions.
With leaves falling and colder temperatures upon us, most baseball fans are left out in the cold. However, here in Washington D.C., and no doubt in Houston, everyone is a diehard fan cheering their team on to a World Series crown.
Curly W’s, the logo of the Washington Nationals (Nats) baseball team, litter the streets, schools, and even office buildings of D.C. Everyone is on board the Nationals train, yet in August you could have spent a paltry $20 for a decent seat and shown up to a half-empty stadium to see the same Nationals play. Today, standing room only tickets for the World Series are said to be fetching $1000.
As the Nationals and Astros begin the World Series, the baseball gods are teaching us a valuable lesson that applies to investing as much as it does sports.
Bandwagon Bias
Within the last month or so, the Nationals and Astros have attracted a huge following of “bandwagon” fans. People who were casual fans or not even fans at all are gripped by a desire and the camaraderie of being with a winner.
Trina Ulrich, a friend of ours and sports psychology professor at American University, was recently interviewed by radio station WAMU to talk about the psychology behind bandwagon fans. The interview and article can be found HERE. Stay tuned as The Lance Roberts Podcast will be interviewing Trina in November.
Trina Ulrich defines the bandwagon effect as follows: “[It’s] essentially a psychological phenomenon that happens when people are doing something because others are doing it already.” Sound familiar?
We have written many articles describing and warning about the dangers of market bandwagons, in particular, investor conformity and the so-called herding effect. These biases are widespread in today’s market place and are extremely important to grasp….CLICK for complete article

Why Renewables Can’t Save the Planet
You can make solar panels cheaper and wind turbines bigger, but you can’t make the sun shine more regularly or the wind blow more reliably. I came to understand the environmental implications of the physics of energy. In order to produce significant amounts of electricity from weak energy flows, you just have to spread them over enormous areas. In other words, the trouble with renewables isn’t fundamentally technical—it’s natural… CLICK to read
