Real Estate

Ontario Loses Over 5,000 Real Estate Jobs, BC Hits New All-Time High

Canada’s real estate sector is making a shift. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows FIRE sector jobs made a small decline in June. The aggregate movement was small, but most of the gains are being made in smaller provinces. Larger provinces like Ontario and Quebec lost thousands of jobs in the sector last month.

The finance, insurance, and real estate (FIRE) sector is the industry of buying and selling homes. The industry booms when asset prices rise, and/or more interest payers are added – i.e. more credit is issued. It suffers when asset prices fall, or credit growth starts to slow down. The sector becomes more important as manufacturing jobs disappear. Yes, the business of warehousing people replaces the business of producing goods. Debt driven economies, such as Canada, are increasingly dependent on this sector.

Canadian FIRE sector employment is virtually flat from the month before. FIRE seasonally adjusted employment fell to 1.193 million jobs in June, down 0.02% from the month before. This was the first monthly decline for June since 2014. The decline works out to 200 jobs, so not nearly as bad as May – when 2,300 jobs were lost. June’s movement was small, but some provinces were luckier than others….CLICK for complete article

Increasingly Weak Demand Outlook Caps Oil Prices

Oil demand continues to soften, which could result in a supply surplus in the second half of this year.

In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, the EIA downgraded its forecast for global oil demand growth to just 1.1 million barrels per day (mb/d) this year, down from the 1.2 mb/d the agency forecasted last month and from 1.4 mb/d in May.

What a difference a month makes. The souring economic picture now means that inventories could actually increase by 0.1 mb/d, the agency said in its latest report. In other words, even with the OPEC+ cuts extended, the oil market could remain in a state of surplus throughout this year and next….CLICK for complete article

The Final Shoe Drops On Germany’s Deutsche Bank

Forget profits for Deutsche Bank for 2019. The German lender is undergoing a radical restructuring that will see 18,000 jobs slashed worldwide and has already taken a 5 percent toll on shares.  London was bustling this morning, according to Twitter, with descriptions of staff frantically packing their stuff in order to get out the door before their security badges quit working.

And that was just London.

Trading staff in Asia were cut loose, too, and the purge also launched in the bank’s New York offices.

All in all, 18,000 jobs are expected to be cut by 2022. That means 20 percent of the bank’s staff. But mostly the focus is on investment banking operations, which haven’t earned enough to justify the risks–or the costs.

The restructuring will cost DB $8.3 billion. That comes on top of Q2 losses of $3.1 billion….CLICK for complete article

At the end of the day, all of the frenzied whispers in the press about Deutsche Bank CEO Christian Sewing’s sweeping restructuring hardly did it justice. Instead of moving slowly, the bank started herding hundreds of employees into meetings with HR, first in its offices in Asia (Hong Kong, Sydney), then London (which got hit particularly hard) then New York City.

By some accounts, it was the largest mass banker firing since the collapse of Lehman, which left nearly 30,000 employees in New York City jobless. Although the American economy is doing comparatively well relative to Europe, across the world, DB employees might struggle to find work again in their same field.

According to Bloomberg, automation and cuts have left most investment banks much leaner than they were before the crisis, and the contracting hedge fund industry, which once poached employees from DB’s equities business, isn’t much help. Some employees will inevitably find their way to Evercore, Blackstone – boutique investment banks and private equity are two of the industry’s top growth areas – or family offices, which, thanks to the never-ending rally in asset prices (and the return of bitcoin), are also booming.

Oh, and of course, there’s always crypto. Some evidence has surfaced to suggest that many young bankers are already looking to make the leap….CLICK for complete article

Why CannTrust (TSX:TRST) Crashed More Than 20% Yesterday

CannTrust Holdings Inc(TSX:TRST)(NYSE:CTST) investors got more bad news on Monday when they learned that the company’s operations were found non-compliant with Health Canada’s regulations.

In its Pelham, Ontario facility, CannTrust had been growing cannabis in rooms that were not yet licensed and still pending approval. Although they did ultimately receiving licenses in April 2019, it didn’t change the fact that the company was growing in the rooms prior to then.

What’s also troubling is that regulators noted that “inaccurate information” was provided by CannTrust employees. As a result of the infractions, Health Canada is holding 5,200 kilograms of dried cannabis that CannTrust previously harvested from those rooms. The company is also voluntarily holding 7,500 kilograms at its Vaughn location, which also has cannabis produced from those rooms…..CLICK for complete article