Asset protection

Governments And Central Banks Are About To Totally Lose Control

Today the man who has become legendary for his predictions on QE and historic moves in currencies, warns that governments and central banks are about to totally lose control of the global financial system, ushering in $10,000 gold, $667 silver and global panic. Money Talks Editor

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Since 2006-2009, governments and central banks believe that they have made it through the strait of Messina, passing through Scylla and Charybdis, but sadly they are mistaken. The world is still desperately trying to get through the inescapable passage that would lead to safety. By printing unlimited amounts of money and thus doubling global debt, there is a general belief that the world has passed the dangers. But sadly that is not the case. We are still in very dangerous waters. 

…..continue reading HERE

….also from King World News:

What Is Happening In Gold, Bonds And Crude Oil Is Truly Stunning

The Chart That Worries Me: HY Bond A-D Line

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There is no divergence yet between stock indices and the NYSE’s composite A-D Line. But there is one in the High Yield Bonds A-D Line, and that is an early warning of big trouble to come.

….continue reading HERE

Why Shady Banksters May Be a Great Investment

Bankers divide the population into two categories: “banked” and “unbanked.” They seek to bank all humanity, because these days, to be unbanked is considered the financial equivalent of homelessness.

The grammar is revealing here. “Bank” isn’t a noun referring to that institution with impressive columns that holds your money. No, bank is a verb because it is an action done to you, not something that exists for you.

While some banks are run by honest folk, others are almost indistinguishable from criminal organizations.

Still, those “banksters” may be one of the best investment opportunities of your life.

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Scandals Upstream

Bank scandals are nothing new in the US and elsewhere. Here are just a few examples from the last decade:

Wells Fargo (WFC) and its fake-account scandal

On September 8, 2016, Wells Fargo announced that it would pay fines of $185 million to federal and Los Angeles city regulators amid allegations that its employees had created millions of fake bank accounts for its customers.

I said when the story first emerged, “There’s never just one cockroach.”

Sure enough, the scandal dragged on for over a year. In August 2017, CNN reported that Wells Fargo “has found a total of up to 3.5 million potentially fake bank and credit card accounts, up from its earlier tally of approximately 2.1 million.”

On top of that, the bank also found over 500,000 unauthorized online bill pay enrollments.


Photo: Getty Images

The LIBOR scandal

The news first broke in 2012. LIBOR is the London Interbank Offered Rate, which determines how much individuals and corporations worldwide receive for their savings or pay for their loans.

It was revealed that bankers at 300-year-old British bank Barclays manipulated LIBOR to their own advantage. But the rabbit hole went much deeper. In the end, Barclay’s (BCS), Citigroup (C), Deutsche Bank (DB), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and UBS Group (UBS) collectively paid $9 billion in fines for LIBOR misconduct.

Under US labor regulations, that settlement should also have barred those banks from managing anyone’s retirement savings.

But no. In December 2016, the outgoing Obama administration gave those five banks a one-year exemption from the rule.

Then in December 2017, the Trump administration extended the Obama exemption for three more years.

Surprised? Don’t be. Letting the megabanks slide is a bipartisan tradition in Washington.

Last year, by the way, the UK Financial Conduct Authority decided to phase out LIBOR in 2021, apparently because even with recent reforms, banksters can’t keep their hands out of the cookie jar.

Here’s another example that’s even worse.

FX market manipulation

In 2015, some of the usual suspects—Barclay’s (BCS), Citicorp (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), and UBS Group (UBS)—were accused of manipulating foreign currency prices in a closed online chat room that they jokingly called “The Cartel” or “The Mafia.” All of them pled guilty to the felony charges.


Photo: Getty Images

Those banks are now convicted felons, but all they ever seem to receive is a slap on the wrist.

Theoretically, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations forbid convicted felon companies from underwriting public securities offerings.

Underwriting is a big part of their business, so being barred from it would be pretty severe punishment. Which is kind of the idea: Criminal punishment should be severe, so it deters repeat crimes and protects the public from being victimized again.

But not for banks.

Even though these banksters pled guilty to all of the charges, the SEC exempted them from the rules so they could continue underwriting. (One commissioner wrote a blistering dissent you can read here.)

Why even have a rule if we won’t use it?

Kicking Out Small Fry

We keep letting banks get away with risky or even fraudulent behavior, and they keep taking more risks and committing more fraud. This probably won’t end well.

Worse, the handful of banks that take most of the risk are pushing out all the others. Politico reported on January 8 that a top bank lobbying group had made a radical change.

The nation’s biggest banks are shaking up one of their trade associations in a bid to maximize their lobbying clout as Congress and regulators prepare to deal with crucial issues affecting the industry.

The board of the Financial Services Roundtable voted just before Christmas to pare down its membership only to banks with more than $25 billion in assets and to payments companies like MasterCard and Visa. The move decreases its membership from more than 80 to roughly 43, eliminating insurers, asset managers and other nonbanks.

The megabanks think their lobbying interests are no longer compatible with those of smaller banks and others. So they’ve kicked the small fry out of their club.

It’s nothing personal, of course. They just prefer their own kind.


Photo: Getty Images

Amazing Bargains

These few dozen top banks now represent most of their industry. All were either part of, or grew out of, the 2008–2009 financial crisis.

If you recall, the Federal Reserve, Congress, and Presidents Bush and Obama decided the banks were “too big to fail” and letting them collapse would wreck the economy. They employed various bailout programs paid for by our taxes to save the banks.

(Except Lehman Brothers, of course. I’ve still not seen a convincing explanation of why it was different.)

Anyway, bank stocks plunged to ridiculous lows during the crisis, before bouncing back once rescued. Now, less than a decade later, they’re back at ridiculous highs. Some look a little shaky because interest rates are rising and loan growth still low, but as a group, they are still handsomely profitable.

Better yet, regulators are afraid to take any steps that might make these banks smaller or less profitable. I had hopes this would change under the Trump administration, but it hasn’t.

History rarely repeats itself, but this may be an exception.

At some point, we will have another financial crisis, the banks will wobble and their stock prices plunge.

Then will come the moment of truth: Will government and Fed rescue the banks again? Probably. If repeated fraudulent behavior and felony convictions won’t make regulators force top banks out of business, it’s hard to see why a broader crisis would do it.

Being “too big to fail” is one reason the top bank stocks did so well since the crisis.

I don’t believe another crisis is imminent, but we’ll see one eventually. Whenever that is, people will get scared and sell off their bank stocks in a panic. If you’re ready with cash in hand, I think you’ll see some amazing bargains.

But in the meantime, you must preserve your capital.

One way to do that is with income-generating securities from stable, recession-resistant sectors and countries. Plenty are out there if you look in the right places. (Want specifics? I invite you to try Yield Shark risk-free today and get my capital protection and income ideas. Click here to learn more.)

The next step is the hardest one: wait. Your chance will come… but don’t move too soon.

See you at the top,

Patrick Watson

A Precise Target for Dollar’s Plunge

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The 91.57 downside target we were using for the dollar looked promising as a place for a powerful bounce to occur. Instead, sellers crushed it on Friday, putting in play a significantly lower target at 88.29 that I would rate as almost certain to be reached.

If so, it would add 2.9% to the Dollar Index’s so far 12.4% decline from the 103.82 high recorded a year ago. It would also undoubtedly quicken the inflation drumbeat we’ve been hearing recently from the usual, benighted  sources — i.e., the news media, professional economists and talking heads. I expect my new target, a clear and compelling Hidden Pivot support, to resist sellers for a while, at least. But if it gives way relatively quickly — and by that I mean within a day or two of first being touched — I would infer that the U.S. dollar is headed significantly lower. At the same time, we could expect to see the continuation of some big trends, including lower prices for Treasury bond and notes, and higher prices for stocks, crude oil, precious metals and of course bitcoin. 

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Jan 16, 2018

  1. Gold and related investments are off to a very positive start in 2018. I don’t expect any major pause in the action until China’s Golden Week holiday celebrations get underway.
  2. Chinese gold dealers will be on holiday this year from about February 15 to February 21. This creates a significant vacuum in gold demand. As dealers and Chinese gold markets close, the gold price tends to soften in global markets.
  3. The good news is that gold has a rough general tendency to rally strongly ahead of the Golden Week festival, and that’s happening right now.
  4. Please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge. Gold has reached the outer boundary of my $1340 – $1365 resistance zone.
  5. A flag pattern is possibly forming. Note the nice pennant pattern that formed at the $1320 resistance zone area. I would also like investors to note that gold has burst through resistance at both $1300 and $1320 with ease.
  6. Short term technical indicators are overbought and a pullback is expected. Hopefully the pullback is a flag pattern rather than something deeper.
  7. Regardless, both the $1320 and $1300 price zones should now function as support on any pullback.
  8. The $1365 area on this February futures chart is much more formidable resistance, because it represents the highs made when India’s Modi “trumped the Trumpster” by calling in the nation’s fiat money.
  9. Modi did that on US election night, as India’s powerful gold buyers were buying enormous amounts of gold to bet on a Trump victory. Their bets were correct, but Modi ruined the payoff.
  10. That horrific demonetization announcement was followed by “know your client” and GST tax policy announcements. In the short term, these policies were all negative for both gold and GDP growth.
  11. Please  click here now. A lot has changed since those policies were unveiled. The Indian gold jewellery market has almost finished restructuring. 
  12. Demand for gold in India is now very steady and rising. That trend is not just “here to stay” but here to accelerate!
  13. The upcoming Indian Federal budget could feature some positive announcements for gold. The post office plan to help rural Indians buy more gold is just one of many proposals coming from India’s top jewellers. There’s also a chance for a duty cut, which is endorsed by the nation’s commerce department.
  14. In America, Jerome Powell is set to become head of the central bank in just three weeks. His aggressive plans for more quantitative tightening, consistent rate hikes, and deregulation of small banks could be a game changer for the twenty-year bear market in US money velocity. 
  15. I’ve predicted he ends that bear market by the summer. That would be a game changer for the equally long bear market in gold stocks versus gold. I believe that bear market ended in 2014-2016, but gold stocks need a major money velocity bull cycle to stage serious outperformance against bullion.
  16. I expect less useless talk from “Fed speakers” in 2018, and more boots on the ground action from Powell with deregulation.
  17. In terms of money velocity, I’ve suggested that gold stocks are probably at a time that can be compared with the 1968 – 1970 period. Inflation is starting to rise, and interest rates are starting to rise. This is exactly what happened from 1968 to 1980, and over the next decade, gold stocks should perform much like they did in the 1970s.
  18. Please  click here now . Double-click to enlarge this dollar versus yen chart. The dollar broke below another low yesterday. Arguably, it could also be a neckline break on a head and shoulders top pattern.
  19. The bottom line for the dollar: It looks like a train wreck against the yen, the yuan, the rupee, and the euro. A rally is expected now, but it should be modest. That fits with my “possible flag for gold” scenario.
  20. One of Trump’s campaign promises was to lower the dollar against the fiat of other major economies. A bullish bet on the dollar is a bet against the president of the United States. I wouldn’t recommend taking that bet.
  21. Please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge this exciting Ripple blockchain currency chart. I tend to approach blockchain investing much like junior gold stocks; I buy a grub stake with 20% – 30% of the total fiat capital I’m willing to commit to the asset, hold 20% to buy at higher prices on pullbacks, and keep 50% to buy at much lower prices.
  22. Right now, I’m a ripple buyer of all 10 cent pullbacks, with a $5 target for the next major move higher.
  23. Please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge. GDX looks like a technical “wonder kid” right now. Note the massive volume on the upside breakout from the rectangular drift pattern that is almost a flag! I expect India to provide the higher price gold floor foundation for a possible surge to the $1500 area for bullion. 
  24. In turn, Powell’s deregulation should make GDX look like bullion on steroids, and I expect it could stun most investors by making a new all-time high long before bullion does!

Thanks! 

Cheers
st

Jan 16, 2018
Stewart Thomson  
Graceland Updates
website: www.gracelandupdates.com
email for questions: stewart@gracelandupdates.com 
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