Currency

Oil: Standing on the Launch Pad

Oil Market Update

It’s a good time to take an updated look at oil, because the paradoxes we observed regarding gold and silver, which we looked at in yesterday’s new Gold and Silver Market updates are much more extreme in the case of oil.On the latest 5-year chart for Light Crude we see that oil has in recent weeks succeeding in breaking out of its giant Head-and-Shoulders base pattern at last. We also see that volume has expanded greatly over the past 2 years which is viewed as a sign of a completing bottom. Recent strong upside volume has driven both volume indicators to new highs, despite the price still being way below its 2013 highs – this is viewed as a very bullish sign, and suggests that oil will advance at least to the $80 area.wtic5year201117

……For the reasoning behind a sharp move up continue reading HERE

MW-FY728 Rogers 20171120135819 ZHThe veteran investor provides a global roundup, with a preference for Asian stocks

At 75, veteran investor Jim Rogers remains as sharp and feisty as he was two decades ago when I first met him at Columbia Business School.

More importantly for investors in search of ideas — he’s just as opinionated. 

Like him or not, Rogers is worth listening to because he has a respectable record. Sure, he makes mistakes. Most recently, he regrets not buying bitcoin ahead of its massive run-up, as a lot of people do (including me).

But he famously made a bundle alongside George Soros in the Quantum Fund. He also made a great call on commodities in the late 1990s when he turned bullish ahead of an extended bull run, and set up the Rogers International Commodity Index (RICI). 

Given his experience and record — and all the uncertainties in the world — I recently checked in with Rogers in Singapore, on what to buy and what to avoid. Here are the highlights.

….continue reading HERE

 

also: The longtime Asia bull and Quantum Fund co-founder thinks the worst bear market of his lifetime is coming. He swung by our Hong Kong bureau to discuss the risks, as well as Trump’s Asia tour and why America could become its own worst enemy if it lets China dominate the region.

Breakingviews – Exchange Podcast: Jim Rogers

Breakingviews – Exchange Podcast: Jim Rogers

 

ECM Turning Point this Weekend

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The Turning Point on the ECM is this weekend. We do happen to have a Directional Change next week in the Dow with the next turning point due the week of 12/04 and that is followed by the week of 12/18. What is most curious, is the fact that the Dow, Euro, Gold, and Oil all have the same timing targets, with oil showing the week of 12/04 is the strongest.

We are witnessing the global markets beginning to align. This is implying that international expectations are starti9ng to dominate domestic or isolated market fundamentals.

We do not expect this turning point to be a monumental one. What this reflects is the markets are starting to align preparing for 2018 and the beginning of a new round of fun and games.

….also from Martin:

Fed Admits is Does Not Understand The Markets

and

EU Concern Rising About Italian Debt

All The Old World Systems Are Being Deliberately Torn Down

As we approach the holiday season many people turn to thoughts on tradition, heritage, principles, duty, honor and family. They consider the accomplishments and even the failures of the past and where we are headed in the future. For most of the year, the average American will keep their heads in the sands of monotony and decadence and distraction. But during this time, even in the midst of the consumption frenzy it has been molded into, people tend to reflect, and they find joy, and they find worry.

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What perhaps does not come to mind very often though are the institutions and structures that provide the “stability” by which our society is able to continue in a predictable manner. While many of these institutions are not built with the good of the public in mind, they often indirectly secure a foundation that can be relied upon, for two or three generations, while securing power for the establishment. The problem is, the establishment is never satisfied with a static or semi-peaceful system for very long. They are not satisfied by being MOSTLY in control, they seek total control. Thus, they are often willing to create chaos and crisis and even tear down old structures that previously benefited them in order to gain something even greater (and more oppressive for the rest of us).

…..continue reading HERE

…also from ZeroHedge

Chinese Stocks Plummet: Shanghai Tumbles Most In 17 Months As Bond Rout Spreads

Tesla Approaches Terminal Decline

funnelSummary

– Financial performance deteriorates – structural unprofitability likely.

– Most cash raised recently is already burnt – next equity sale looms.

– Institutional ownership declines – distribution continues.

– Management churn accelerates – corporate culture looks damaged.

– Only the story matters – the stock remains a trade vehicle.

Here we are, seven months later, and Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) financial performance deteriorates at an alarming rate. Bearish macro scenarios, always just around the corner since 2011, refuse to play out and Queen TINA and King FOMO remain enthroned. The much anticipated interest rate assault by central banks is further delayed. And once it arrives, it will do so in rather piecemeal fashion, unlike the infamous macro-scaremongers suspect. No surprise then that the Panglossian valuation of Tesla abides, while journalists and analysts alike continue falling for every new-fangled non-profit idea emerging from Palo Alto.

And then, as long as 1) wealthy consumers in western nations but also China are eager to seek indulgence by way of green-washing and, 2) are in search of a Steve Jobs replacement persona onto which they can project their hopes for a gleaming future and, 3) are disillusioned with the establishment and its leaders, the company will likely succeed to raise cash again. Some say it might already be too big to fail.

The Tesla narrative is based on an illusion, a contradictio in adjecto – the promise that humankind can shop and consume itself into a sustainable future. However, even a million Teslas on the world’s roads will not impact the environment for better or worse. It is a systemic issue. The Financial Times agrees. Sustainability and promoting the purchase of raw-material consuming heavyweight products are mutually exclusive. There is no right life in the wrong, to paraphrase Theodor Adorno.

At the time of writing, the company’s precarious financial position shows that it remains a bottomless pit. Let’s go in.

….continue reading HERE