Gold & Precious Metals

November 29, 2016

  1.      It’s been a wild ride in 2016 for most gold community investors. Rather than wane, the violent price action may be about to accelerate.
  2.      Please click here now. Top Goldman analysts are open to a stunning move in the oil price over the next 24 hours, as a key OPEC meeting takes place! 
  3.      Tactics? Oil is likely to move higher in 2017 regardless of the outcome of this meeting, so I want to be a buyer of any significant price weakness.
  4.      To view my current buy and sell zones for oil, please click here now. Double-click to enlarge this daily bars oil chart.
  5.      There may not be any OPEC-related pullback to my $40 area buy zone, but oil price enthusiasts should be decent buyers there, if it happens.
  6.      If oil moves as violently as Goldman is predicting, gold could also experience some wild price movement. 
  7.      Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge. Note the buy zones and my 14,7,7 Stochastics series oscillator that I use exclusively on daily charts for major asset classes.
  8.      A beautiful buy signal for that oscillator is very near at hand!
  9.      Many investors are wondering what caused this violent decline in the price of gold that began on US election night. Here’s the likely answer: 
  10.      When vote counts began to show that Donald “The Golden Trumpster” Trump would win the US election, gold surged well into my key sell zone at $1320, reaching about $1337. 
  11.      Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge this monthly bars gold chart.
  12.      I sold a decent amount of gold as it rose into the sell zone, even though the price was flirting with an upside breakout from a key monthly chart downtrend line.
  13.     In my professional opinion, gold would have achieved the trend line breakout, but only if the Indian government had not suddenly showed up on the scene that same night… with a horrific announcement that overwhelmed the US election news.
  14.     The bottom line is that a massive fiat cash call-in was announced, crimping the ability of Indian citizens to buy large amounts of physical gold.
  15.      As the true size of the call-in became understood, gold tumbled violently down to my fresh but modest buy zones of $1215 and $1180. I’ve taken buy-side action, and I urge the entire world gold community to do so as well.  Buy modestly, but buy!
  16.      Whenever gold bullion enters a buy zone of modest size, gold stocks and silver bullion can also be bought, also with modest size.
  17.      To view the GDX chart, please click here now. Double-click to enlarge. 
  18.      GDX has entered the $21.42 – $19.02 accumulation zone, and all gold stock enthusiasts should take buy-side action. 
  19.      For a closer look at GDX, please click here now. Double-click to enlarge this GDX daily bars chart.  Note the excellent position of the Stochastics oscillator at the bottom of the chart.  
  20.     The current time may be a confusing one for the world gold community. The election of Trump was supposed to send gold soaring.  There is now talk of an imports ban in China.  The action in India borders on the   
  21.      My view on the situation is this: Gold is the ultimate asset, so investors need to be prepared for “ultimate price action” on any one of the 365 days in a year!  
  22.      While the Chindian situation is mildly concerning, it’s temporary and countered by the upcoming Fed meeting. A rate hike will further incentivize banks to make loans, and that is the next step needed to reverse money velocity and generate serious institutional interest in gold ownership.  
  23.      A fresh upcycle in oil seems imminent, and the Italian referendum comes next week. For the most gold-positive news of all (in the short to medium term), please click here now.  As of today, a billion Muslims will have the means to legally invest in gold products that were previously off-limits.  
  24.      This is very important news for the world gold community. It should add about 1000 tons of demand over the next 12 months.  It will also help to make gold a more respected mainstream asset.  Bullion ETFs and perhaps even gold stock ETFs like GDX will be enthusiastically embraced.  The official launch date has not been announced, but I’m predicting it will occur before this year ends!

Special Offer For Website Readers:  Please send me an Email to freereports4@gracelandupdates.com and I’ll send you my free “Gold Stock World Champions!” report.  I highlight seven of the world’s top gold stocks, with key tactics for accumulators and traders!

Thanks!  

Cheers

St

Stewart Thomson  

Graceland Updates https://www.gracelandupdates.com   

Risks, Disclaimers, Legal

Stewart Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The information provided by Stewart and Graceland Updates is for general information purposes only. Before taking any action on any investment, it is imperative that you consult with multiple properly licensed, experienced and qualified investment advisors and get numerous opinions before taking any action. Your minimum risk on any investment in the world is: 100% loss of all your money. You may be taking or preparing to take leveraged positions in investments and not know it, exposing yourself to unlimited risks. This is highly concerning if you are an investor in any derivatives products. There is an approx $700 trillion OTC Derivatives Iceberg with a tiny portion written off officially. The bottom line:   

Are You Prepared?

Consumer Confidence Rebounds in November

557a3e141676a6f061683c1eecfc01fcThe latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index was released this morning based on data collected through November 15. The headline number of 107.1 was an increase from the final reading of 100.8 for October, an upward revision from 98.6. Today’s number was above the Investing.com consensus of 101.2.

Here is an excerpt from the Conference Board press release.

“Consumer confidence improved in November after a moderate decline in October, and is once again at pre-recession levels,” said Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. (The Index stood at 111.9 in July 2007.) “A more favorable assessment of current conditions coupled with a more optimistic short-term outlook helped boost confidence. And while the majority of consumers were surveyed before the presidential election, it appears from the small sample of post-election responses that consumers’ optimism was not impacted by the outcome. With the holiday season upon us, a more confident consumer should be welcome news for retailers.”                                                                          Click for larger charts

Putting the Latest Number in Context

….continue reading HERE

….also:

Look what’s happening to Treasuries

Cash is for Criminals – Taxing Cash Withdrawals from ATMs

war-on-cashWe are entering a very dark phase in this battle to retain our liberty. A proposal now being whispered behind the curtain in Europe is to impose a tax on withdrawing your own money from an ATM. The banks support this measure as a whole because they see this as preventing bank runs.

Nobody will look at the direction we are headed. I am deeply concerned that these type of proposals will send the West in a real revolution not much different from that of Russia in 1917. The divide between left and right is getting much deeper and the left is hell bent on stripping those who produce of their liberty and assets. This type of confrontation is in line with our War Cycle, which we will update in 2017.

This is the most dangerous period we are heading into for governments will respond only in their own self-interest to survive. The socialists hate those who produce. That is just the bottom line. Nobody should have wealth more than they and this is the same human emotion that has cost tens of millions of lives in civil conflicts through out the centuries. Proof this is a persistyent problem is the fact taht even the Ten Commandments state clearly that socialism is wrong: “You shall not covet your neighbor’s house … or anything that belongs to your neighbor” (Exodus 20:17).  Nevertheless, this is repuidiated by socialists who say it’s not fair that anyone has something more than they do. This material jealousy has been the source of so much death throughout the centuries because it has been exploited by the ruling class to justify their theivery.

We will review all our models and update this after the U.S. inauguration since the socialists are trying to figure out how to steal the election from Trump. There is no way to overturn Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania without fraud and they need all three overturned to claim victory. This will not end nicely. The divide will only get bigger. The future is anything but stable and safe.

The war on cash is in full swing. The whispers behind the curtain are starting to get louder. The headlines in Australia demonstrate how the press is already conspiring against the people. The new slogan rising is Cash is for Criminals. ABC of Australia ran the story:

 

…..also: 

Trump’s Presidency- Stock Market Crash or Start of New Mega-Trends

A little and a little, collected together, becomes a great deal; the heap in the barn consists of single grains, and drop and drop make the inundation.Saadi

solTrump’s win proves that mainstream Media is in trouble; it is going to be all downhill from here except for the ones that parted ways and tried to provide accurate coverage of what was going on. The crowd will turn increasingly to social media and outlets that focus on facts as opposed to fiction. Mainstream media is in for a painful ride as the crowd is not going to forgive them so easily for their transgressions; the only exceptions being the ones that portrayed an accurate image of what was taking place. Many pollsters might have to look for new jobs, and as we just stated, we feel that social media is going to be the biggest winner. Perhaps this is why Google has its eye on Twitter and has decided to donate its search engine business and in doing so take a $1 trillion business write off.  

Google is working with a financial adviser to consider a potential bid for Twitter Inc., as the social-media company continues to explore a sale, according to a person familiar with the arrangement.In tapping Lazard Ltd., Google hasn’t indicated it will definitely make an offer for Twitter. However, the move suggests that Google is evaluating the option, pitting the search giant against other potential bidders including Walt Disney Co. and Salesforce.com Inc. Full Story

No matter how mainstream media tries to spin it, they blew it; it was Brexit on steroids. Trumps win highlights the power of social media and how terribly controlled traditional media outlets are. They misfired on Brexit and grossly over exaggerated Clinton’s lead. It was a stunning defeat and the fact that mainstream media was so far off the mark will now serve as the bedrock to propel social media to levels never seen before. Expect a whole new range of social media apps and sites to emerge that are going to put many newspapers out of business. As the masses grow increasingly suspicious of mainstream media, we believe that social media will be able to provide valuable insights into the mass mindset.   

Being politically correct is now a dead concept

 

All over the world, the politician that speaks his mind is the one that will resonate well with the public.  Those that focus on their P’s, and Q’s will be toast.  The crowd seems to agree:

Most Americans (59%) say “too many people are easily offended these days over the language that others use.” Fewer (39%) think “people need to be more careful about the language they use to avoid offending people with different backgrounds.”  About eight-in-ten (78%) Republicans say too many people are easily offended, while just 21% say people should be more careful to avoid offending others. Among Democrats, 61% think people should be more careful not to offend others, compared with 37% who say people these days are too easily offended Full Story  

Regulations in the US are going to be torn apart

The Hill, for example, compiled a solid list of “14 Obama Regs Trump Could Undo” that are surely being reviewed by transition operatives.For present purposes, there are a couplecategories of rules potentially subject to elimination by the Trump administration. The first consists of already finalised (and often legally challenged) rules, like the Environmental Protection Agency’s Clean Power Plan and the Waters of the United States rule; the Department of Labor’s “overtime rule” and its “fiduciary rule.”  Then there is the big one, Obamacare. These are long-discussed items like those in the Hill article noted earlier. Full Story  

Obama care will be gutted as in general it is a disaster; “You can keep your doctor” slogan and the steep rise in premiums clearly demonstrate the detrimental nature of this program. Many small businesses were forced to fire workers as they could not afford to pay these premiums. It remains to be seen what will replace it, but for now, the news is being greeted with enthusiasm. Trump’s decision to knock off two rules on the book for every rule created should contribute to creating a more friendly business environment. 

The energy, transportations and Banks are just a few of the sectors that will do well.  Banks have rallied strongly as there is a wide held belief that Trump’s administration will gut the Dodd-Frank Act.  This will pave the way for banks to speculate and that should provide more fuel for one of the most hated bull markets in history.

The trucking sector has rallied sharply, possibly on the expectation that tougher trade deals will be negotiated and the hope is that this will lead to a rise in manufacturing activity. Whether this belief is true or not hardly matter; the rally has gathered momentum after Trump was declared the winner.  Markets are forward looking beasts and the long term trend for the transportation sector and banking sectors have turned positive. BAC and SAIA are two random stocks we picked from the banking and transportation industry to illustrate the strength behind the current rally. 

SAIA

SAIA Inc is just one of the many stocks in the trucking sector, but you can see how strongly it has rallied over the past few weeks. It has tacked on more than 30% in less than eight weeks and is now clearly trending upwards.  There is a strong wall of resistance in the 42.50-44.00 ranges, but once it overcomes this zone, it should soar in to put in a series of new highs. 

BAC

The pattern in the banking sector is pretty similar to that of the Transportation sector; Bank of America has rallied very sharply over the past few weeks, surging from the 15.00 ranges to almost 21.00 for a gain of over 30%.   The stock has broken out and is now trading at new three-year highs; as the trend is up, it is likely to continue trading higher for several years to come.  A Strong pullback should be viewed through a bullish lens. 

Conclusion 

Many sectors are breaking out, but the transportation and the financial sectors are two important segments that have the potential to drive the markets significantly higher.  The financial sector has been a laggard for a long time, and as the trend change is relatively new, this trend should remain in force for a significant period. The markets have responded well to a Trump win and what we stated in an article that was penned before the election results came in has come to pass; once again proving that as long as the trend is up, every substantial pullback should be viewed through a bullish lens. 

From a contrarian angle (and not a political point of view) a Trump win could be construed as a positive development; non-contrarians will demand to know why? Mass Psychology clearly states that the masses are always on the wrong side of the equation.  A Trump win will create uncertainty, and the lemmings will flee for the exits; markets will pull back sharply and viola the same old cycle will come into play.  The cycle of selling based on fear which equates to opportunity for those who refuse to allow their emotions to do the talking. Full Story   

In general, we have stated for the past few years that as long as the trend is up, all substantial pullbacks should be viewed as buying opportunities. Some of our readers (claiming to be expert floor traders, etc.) have erroneously assumed that we are advocating a buy on the dip strategy. The keyword they forget to pay attention to is the trend. Individuals like this are famous for flip-flopping, saying one thing today and changing their stance tomorrow. Be wary of such people and take their ramblings with a barrel of salt. If this was our strategy we should have taken the same position with Gold, but since we bailed out in 2011, we have not viewed pullbacks through a bullish lens because the trend is not positive. However, we have seen the dollar through a bullish lens since 2011 as the trend is positive.  Our strategy is based on the trend and market sentiment and as long as the trend is up, the greater the deviation; the bigger the buying opportunity. 

If the only tool you have is a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail.

Abraham H. Maslow

….also: Tyler Bolhorn: Checking the Charts

5 Tried and True Strategies For Building Wealth

build-wealthThere are hundreds of resources available that claim to help you build wealth. From smart stock market strategies to investing in startups as a venture capitalist, there are numerous ways to make your money work for you.

So how do you know which ones really work? Here are five tried and strategies for building wealth, that have stood the test of time.

….read all 5 HERE

 

…..related: 

How Put Selling Creates Monthly Income