Real Estate

Real Estate: 6 CDN Cities Prices For June

jun16-canada orig

Larger Chart

New highs and air pockets. In June 2016 Canada’s big city metro SFD prices hit resistance M/M except Vancouver where another hat trick of all sectors for the third month in a row created new peak prices. Toronto SFD prices may have hit an air pocket but sales manged to exceed supply for a new benchmark in mania. Anyone owning a house in the scorching hot Vancouver and Toront omarkets is sitting on an unredeemed lottery ticket. 

The chart above shows the average detached housing prices for Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto*, Ottawa* and Montréal* (the six Canadian cities with over a million people) as well as the average of the sum of VancouverCalgary and Toronto condo (apartment) prices on the left axis. On the right axis is the seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) of MLS® Residential Sales across Canada (one month lag).

….read more HERE

related:

Three Megatrends Dominating Global Real Estate

 

Gold Is Just Getting Warmed Up: UBS Analyst

It’s been a stellar six months for gold investors. The yellow metal has surged 28 percent year-to-date, its best first half of the year since 1974. And now there are signs that the rally is just getting started.

That’s the assessment of analysts from UBS and Credit Suisse, who see gold entering a new bull run. According to UBS analyst Joni Teves, gold could climb to $1,400 an ounce in the short term on macroeconomic uncertainty, dovish monetary policy and lower yields.

“These factors,” Teves writes, “justify strategic gold allocations across different types of investors” and should encourage hesitant investors to participate.

Already-low bond yields around the globe have fallen even further in Brexit’s wake, many of them hitting fresh all-time lows, including yields in the U.S., U.K., Germany, France, Australia, Japan and elsewhere. For the first time ever, Switzerland’s entire stock of bond yields has fallen below zero, with the 50-year yield plunging to negative 0.03 percent on July 5.

COMM-switzerland-50-year-bond-yield-07082016
click to enlarge

Canada’s 30-year bond yield also plunged to a record low, as did yields on the 10-year and 30-year Treasuries.

canada-30-year-bond-yield-07122016
click to enlarge

us-30-year-treasury-yield-07122016
click to enlarge

us-10-year-treaury-yield-07122016
click to enlarge

About $10 trillion worth of global government debt now carry historically low or negative yields, which are “creating negative growth” in the world economy, according to billionaire “bond king” Bill Gross in his recent Investment Outlook.

Anemic yields are also contributing to gold’s attractiveness right now. Since Britain’s June 23 referendum, the precious metal has rallied more than 8 percent, helping it achieve its best first half of the year in more than a generation.

Negative Real Rates Fuel Prices

Joining UBS in forecasting further gains is Credit Suisse, which sees gold reaching $1,500 by as early as the start of next year. As Kitco reports, Credit Suisse analyst Michael Slifirski writes that “the surprise Brexit vote has solidified and intensified macro and political uncertainty and extended the time frame for a negative real rate environment in the U.S. and potentially abroad.”

This is precisely what I told BNN’s Paul Bagnell this week, using Canada as an example. The Canadian 10-year yield is sitting just below 1 percent, while inflation in May came in at 1.5 percent. When we subtract the latter from the former, we get a real rate of negative 0.5 percent—meaning inflation is eating your lunch. Like negative bond yields, negative real rates have in the past accelerated momentum in gold’s Fear Trade.

We need only look at the end of the last upcycle in gold to see this to be the case. When gold hit its all-time high of $1,900 in August 2011, real interest rates were around 3 percent. A five-year Treasury bond yielded only 0.9 percent, and that’s before inflation took 3.8 percent. But as real rates rose, gold prices fell. Now the reverse is happening.

COMM-gold-rebound-linked-to-fall-in-interest-rates-04012016-LG
click to enlarge

Gold Miners Rally

The appreciation in bullion is helping to push up gold mining stocks. The FTSE Gold Mines Index, which tracks seniors such as Barrick Gold, Newmont Mining and Goldcorp, is up a phenomenal 125 percent year-to-date.

Our own Gold and Precious Metals Fund (USERX) and World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) are both performing exceptionally well, with USERX returning close to 80 percent for the one-year period and UNWPX surging nearly 100 percent during the same period.

us-global-investors-gold-funds-07-2016
click to enlarge

Managed by Ralph Aldis, named a Metals and Mining “TopGun” by Brendan Wood International last year, the Gold and Precious Metals Fund holds four stars overall from Morningstar out of 71 Equity Precious Metals funds, based on risk-adjusted returns, as of June 30, 2016.  

With gold having possibly entered the early stages of a new bull run, it might be time to consider gold stocks. I invite you to visit our gold funds page to learn more about what’s driving gold right now.

Please consider carefully a fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. For this and other important information, obtain a fund prospectus by visiting www.usfunds.com or by calling 1-800-US-FUNDS (1-800-873-8637). Read it carefully before investing. Foreside Fund Services, LLC, Distributor. U.S. Global Investors is the investment adviser.

“The Rule Of Law No Longer Means Anything” – Rudolph Giuliani

…..posted without comment with attribution to Townhall.com

gmc14284720160711090900

 related:

Be sure to read Martin Armstrong’s All Part Of The Collapse In Government

The Magic Of Metrics

Screen Shot 2016-07-12 at 10.15.04 AMWe have heard it so many times, “What gets measured, gets managed!”.  Yet, many business leaders today often overlook this simple rule and neglect to implement an effective metrics system that drives performance, monitors results and creates enduring shareholder value. 

Why is this?  I believe many managers either think it is too complicated, not effective, and/or time-consuming with little impact on the bottom line.  Nothing can be further from the truth.  An effective metrics system is easy to implement and maintain, has an incredible impact on the health of the business and is one of the most critical levers that can be applied to accelerate the growth of your business.  Properly designed and implemented, a metrics system can be the one, truly objective voice that speaks to you on the current health and future viability of the business.

If you are interested in setting up a simple system to truly measure effectiveness, do the following:

Keep It Simple

Strive to keep the entire system as simple and easy as possible.  This can be done by minimizing the number of corporate metrics to be measured, reported and actioned.  It should be between 3 and 6 key performance indicators.   I successfully ran and grew a $75 million per year business with 6 key performance indicators, reportedly monthly on a single sheet of paper, including graphs.  While there are many great software solutions to manage key performance indicators, I would proceed with caution and focus on a very simple system that truly measures what is most important in an easy, low-cost and effective manner.

Focus on the Critical Few, Not the Trivial Many

Pick the few critical indicators that will have the biggest impact on your customer, shareholders and employees.  Determine what is most important to those three groups and determine one or two metrics per group that will have the biggest impact, for the least amount of effort.  Avoid the trap of trying to measure too many items because ‘everything is a priority’, by setting the right tone for the organization, and showing courage as a leader.

Pick Both Leading and Lagging Indicators

Not all metrics are created equally!  By understanding the linkage between cause and effect you can determine which measures are leading indicators of business growth (ie.  sales funnel health) and which are lagging indicators (i.e. revenue, EBITDA).  By picking a balance between the two you can continue to monitor not only the current state of business, but its trajectory and likely future state.

Delegate To One Person

Make a single person in the organization responsible for implementing, maintaining, and reporting on the key performance indicators.  Without question, that person will rely on the assistance of many other people to make an effective system: however, you must have the ability to turn to only one person to ensure the system is effective.  Once the system is up and running, it should only take a few hours a week to maintain.

Think in Terms of A “Commit, Plan, Do, Measure, Act” Cycle

Set up a simple system based on the following actions:  COMMIT to measuring to an objective system of measuring the effectiveness of your leadership and the health of your business.  PLAN a metrics system that works for you.  DO implement the system as described here.  MEASURE the key performance indicators of your business.  ACT by implementing the necessary actions to achieve ongoing growth and continuous improvement.  Repeat the cycle and reap the rewards.

Action, Action, Action

Focus on action by reviewing the metrics with the entire management team on a regular (ie. monthly) basis.  Make this review the highest priority, encourage a no-blame discussion of the results attained and focus on determining and implementing the actions necessary to achieve better results in the future.  The management team should approach this task as a team with collective responsibility, however, the actions must be assigned solely. 

The implementation and management of an effective metrics system can be a very powerful tool in accelerating the growth of your business.  By developing numerical evidence of the state of the business, the discussion on improvement can be moved from the realm of opinion to the arena of hard facts.  Accurate thinking requires hard facts, and this is the best way to get them.  The long term creation of shareholder value can be achieved by implementing this simple system and monitoring results over a long period of time, making adjustments and improvements in the interim.

related:

be sure to read Eamon’s How to Execute Well: Plan-Do-Check-Act

Three Megatrends Dominating Global Real Estate

What will be the driving factors behind global real estate in the coming years?

Today’s infographic highlights three giant trends – megatrends – that will be important for investors to consider.

11c2a385-7e0e-4fd2-bada-8a9da4e1e975

c7ed1d8a-9e99-47a6-803a-efb821fa1c29

 

related:

Infographic: Vancouver Real Estate Mania