Currency
The following 3 reasons suggest that the Canadian dollar might be undervalued against the USD:
The Canadian dollar heavily depends on the price of oil. Regression analysis as well as other interest theory suggests that the Canadian dollar is currently 8% undervalued.
The following chart shows the strong relationship between the Canadian dollar and the price of oil over the last 30 years (from January 1986 through April 2016). The monthly exchange rate data is from the Bank of Canada. The monthly price of oil is from Department of Energy.
related, Victor Adair with Michael Campbell: A Significant Turn In The US Dollar

US Dollar , Back From the Grave ?
There are several times a year when the markets gives you an important inflection point. Today I believe we just witnessed one in regards to the PM complex, the US dollar and the stock markets. Even though the US dollar didn’t have an extremely big up day it did show its hand by breaking out of a downtrend channel while the PM complex had a tougher day breaking down from a small topping pattern we looked at earlier today. Also the stock markets had a very good day to the upside with some completing small double bottoms or falling wedges.

Plus A Chart That Will Blow Your Mind!
“In a world full of bubbles that are all destined to burst, it is impossible to forecast which will be the first ones to unleash havoc on the world economy. But one of the biggest bubbles that would clearly bring down the financial system is the bond market. Here we have a $100 trillion market that has grown exponentially in the last 25 years and which has virtually gone vertical since the 2006 – 2009 crisis…
225+ Year Chart of U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields
…continue reading this analysis HERE
related: One Chart Reveals Fed’s True Intent; Wreck Havoc on The Middle Class

“holding a lot of cash right now doesn’t seem like a terrible opportunity” – we’re in the “ninth inning” of the economic cycle
Is there something in the water that billionaires drink? Because yet ANOTHER one just warned about coming market and economic chaos this morning!
Sam Zell is his name, and real estate is his game. Zell has founded or invested in multiple public and private real estate firms from his home base in Chicago over the years, and is now worth an estimated $4.8 billion.
As a guest host on CNBC today, he offered nothing but cold water and harsh reality for the starry-eyed optimists. Specifically, he said “holding a lot of cash right now doesn’t seem like a terrible opportunity” … added that we’re in the “ninth inning” of the economic cycle … and warned that recession was right around the corner.
Plus, he added:
“We live in a cyclical world. I think the cycle is changing. Things all over the world are telling us were near the end of that cycle.”
Why do I keep harping on this? Because …
First, it was Carl Icahn, estimated net worth of around $20 billion.
Next, it was Stanley Druckenmiller, estimated net worth of more than $4 billion.
Then, it was George Soros, estimated net worth of $25 billion.
The fact they have built up so much wealth over the years on Wall Street makes their opinions worth listening to. That wealth also allows each of them to speak his mind freely. They don’t have an ax to grind, or corporate masters to answer to, like your traditional happy-talk-spewing brokerage analysts.
They also clearly don’t offer up the kind of overly reserved, “on the one hand, on the other” kind of claptrap you get from central bankers and politicians.
No, that doesn’t guarantee they’re correct, as I’ve said before. But with so many billionaires piling on here, maybe there’s something to this their warnings? Maybe, just maybe, we should all be paying attention and taking steps to prepare for rougher times ahead? I know I am, and I encourage you to do so, too.
related: Stan Druckenmiller: ‘What Part of “Get Out of The Stock Market” Don’t You Understand?’

“we are seeing the same decoupling between US and EM stocks that that turned out a leading indicator for the decline in US risk assets in August last year and again in December/January this year…“
related by Martin Armstrong: The Dow & Confusion
