Personal Finance

One of the Most Important Financial Events Is Taking Place Before Our Very Eyes

One of the most significant financial events is taking place before our very eyes, and yet not many are paying attention to it, says Louis Gave, CEO of the well-respected GaveKal Research.

picture-691After the Lehman collapse in 2008, firms around the world suddenly canceled orders to China, causing Chinese exports to collapse by 30%. With the US dollar acting as the world’s reserve currency, greasing the gears of international trade, suddenly those dollars became scarce as the US banking system paralyzed credit around the globe. This led China to ask, “Why should badly managed banks in the US affect our trade with other countries?”

Not wanting to suffer the same consequences again, China has since responded by conducting trade agreements with its partners to trade not in the world’s reserve currency, the US dollar, but with its own currency: the renminbi. As a result, “In the past five years, China has moved from 0% renminbi and 100% US dollars to, now, 18% denominated in renminbi. That’s a massive, massive change,” says Gave.

“The internationalization of the renminbi, the creation of the RMB bond market, is one of the most important financial developments of the past decade,” he says.

…..read more HERE

A Private Letter from Warren Buffett

UnknownIn the mid-1970s, an investor with tremendous business experience, Warren Buffett, became the business “coach” and confidant of the Washington Post‘s Katharine Graham. Graham became chairman and CEO of the newspaper company unexpectedly when her husband committed suicide. She leaned heavily on Buffett’s business judgment – especially when it came to the question of how to manage the business fund. Buffett addressed that critical question in a private letter to Graham.

 
Fortunately… I was sent a copy of that letter late last month. Here’s what Buffett told one of his closest friends about how to manage her company’s pension account…
 
The directors and officers of the company consider themselves to be quite capable of making business decisions, including decisions regarding the long-term attractiveness of specific business operations purchased at specific prices. We have made decisions to purchase several television businesses, a newspaper business, etc. And in other relationships, we have made such judgments covering a much wider spectrum of business operations.
 
Negotiated prices for such purchases of entire businesses often are dramatically higher than stock market valuations attributable to well-managed similar operations. Longer term, rewards to owners in both cases will flow from such investments proportional to the economic results of the business. By buying small pieces of businesses through the stock market rather than entire businesses through negotiation, several disadvantages occur: a) the right to manage, or select managers, is forfeited; b) the right to determine dividend policy or direct the areas of internal reinvestment is absent; c) ability to borrow long-term against the business assets (versus against the stock position) is greatly reduced; and d) the opportunity to sell the businesses on a full-value, private-owner basis is forfeited.
 
[These disadvantages are offset by] the periodic tendency of stock markets to experience excesses, which cause businesses – when changing hands in small pieces through stock transactions – to sell at prices significantly above privately determined negotiated values. At such times, holdings may be liquidated at better prices than if the whole business were owned – and, due to the impersonal nature of securities markets, no moral stigma need be attached to dealing with such unwitting buyers.
 
Stock market prices may bounce wildly and irrationally, but if decisions regarding internal rates of return of the business are reasonably correct – and a small portion of the business is bought at a fraction of its private-owner value – a good return for the fund should be assured over the time span against which pension fund results should be measured.
 
[Success] in large part, is a matter of attitude, whereby the results of the business become the standard against which measurements are made rather than quarterly stock prices. It embodies a long time span for judgment confirmation, just as does an investment by a corporation in a major new division, plant, or product. It treats stock ownership as business ownership with corresponding adjustment in mental set. And it demands an excess of value of price paid, not merely a favorable short-term earnings or stock market outlook. General stock market considerations simply don’t enter into the purchase decisions.
 
Finally, [success] rests on a belief, which both seems logical and which has been borne out historically in securities markets, that intrinsic value is the eventual prime determinant of stock prices. In the words of my former boss: ‘In the short run the market is a voting machine, but in the long run it is a weighing machine.'”
…..read more HERE

FREE LIVE webinar Sat – how to register and join

MC horz cropped - 2013Immediately following the show on Saturday I will be joined by GPS Portfolio strategist Steve Deschesnes for a live webinar – which means you can watch us live on your computer. I’ll find out for you what key market indicators he is tracking right now. And more importantly, how you can follow exactly what he does in the days ahead. Plus ask some questions!

This is our first live webinar and due to the contraints of the technology only the first 500 listeners will be able to register.

Michael Campbell

HOW TO REGISTER

1)    CLICK HERE to register or paste this address into your browser – https://www.disnat.com/en/knowledge/event_register.aspx?EventId=d2dac22c-40ff-47f3-b4d3-1da8962fc850

2)    Once you click Submit you will be sent an email with the subject – Web seminar scheduled: Market Overview with Disnat GPS Portfolio Strategist. This email will include the link you will use to join the webinar on Saturday. The webinar will begin immediately after the show at 10:15am pacific time on Sat Sept 14th. You will be able to join the webinar as soon as the show starts at 8:30am Pacific.

HOW TO JOIN ON SATURDAY

1)   Open your confirmation email and CLICK on the link
          Enter your name and email. The event password is – DISNAT.
          Click Join Now.
          Confirm your email address and click Submit

2)   JAVA requirement – If you do not have Java on your computer the system will ask you to add this small, free piece of software.
          CLICK Use Java link
          CLICK Run
          At this point you should be able to see the workshop slides on your screen
          You can adjust the volume on the page to hear through your computer speakers.

*N.B.   If you cannot hear through your computer you can listen over the phone!
         Dial 1-866-699-3239
         Enter 667 097 102

If you are having any difficulties please feel free to call the Disnat Customer Service at 1-866-873-7103 or call the MoneyTalks office 1-877-926-6849

If you would like more detailed instructions CLICK HERE for a complete visual demonstration.

 

 

Global Insights – Sept 9th

Kevin Konar

»» Equities rose and safe-haven bonds fell following solid economic data across regions—U.S. employment report aside.

»» Weak job gains are unlikely to derail the Fed’s tapering plans.

»» For 10-year Treasuries, 3% is set to become the new 2%. That has far reaching implications across regions. Investors should position portfolios accordingly. (page 3)

»» Global Roundup: Overview of Canada’s strong employment report. Is the market ahead of itself regarding the BOE’s easing bias? Interesting comments by Chinese officials about local government debt. (pages 3-4)

For the complete Weekly Report as well as Daily Updates CLICK HERE.

 

 

 

 

 

Good Read: What 30 Years Has Taught Me

Grandich-headshot 7-10-e2-199x300A result like this hasn’t surprised me for years because one man showed me that the stock market is not remotely close to what so many have tried to make us think it is. Heck, not even 1 out 4 so-called money managers can even match or surpass the index they’re matched up again (translation – better to buy an index fund versus any other).

As noted in my book, one man would forever change the way I look at finances. Frank Congilose taught me that 99% of all so-called advisers will fail—not because they’re dishonest but because their approached is badly flawed. And Frank is the only person I ever met among the thousands over 30 years that is both very bright and very honest. In my experience, an especially smart person usually tries to push the envelope (if not go into gray areas), and if they happen to be the minority that is totally honest, they are far from “Rocket Scientists.”

It was about 15 years ago when Frank first ruined my day by basically showing me everything I was told in the first half of my career was doomed to fail. He then proceeded to show me a process that truly offers far less risk, an opportunity for a far better lifestyle and no additional capital in order to achieve goals. That’s the good news.

The downside to this “process” is while it teaches how to make one dollar do the work of two or three, it can’t make a Chevy into a Cadillac. Money doesn’t grow on trees no matter how much Wall Street and Madison Avenue would like you to believe so. Sadly, the multiple effects tend to favor them greatly over you.

It took 30 years and losses of millions of dollars for me to finally truly get it despite already knowing this to be the case; look at any 100 people with wealth and you will discover they mainly acquired it only three ways:

 

  • They inherited it
  • Owned business(es)
  • Bought commercial real estate

 

For the vast majority, the only way the stock market played a major role in acquiring the wealth was they either worked for a publicly held company and were granted stock options at discounted prices and sold them, or they were truly insiders and were already out or getting out when the masses were getting in. In my 30 years I’ve yet to meet anyone who said, “Mom and dad put some money in the market every year and ended up with millions.” Sadly, I’ve come to realize that if you truly want to end up with a million in the market, start with two!

In my 30 years in and around the stock market, I’m extremely disgusted to say it doesn’t come close to resembling what it was when I first entered it 30 years ago—a place to buy and sell part ownerships of businesses. Instead, it has become a notorious casino-like place where not only is the playing field greatly tilted against you, but where the vast majority of the so-called professionals can’t even beat index funds.

want you to read these various articles and watch this video. It’s just a small sampling of the proof I believe clearly demonstrates why making the stock market the driving force to reach your financial goals like retirement, college educations, etc. is destined to fail…even if you’re fortunate enough to find one of the few financial advisers who put your financial needs above their own.

The alternative process I speak of is not driven by chasing net worth, a bad strategy on which the “Don’t Worry, Be Happy” crowd has spent tens of billions of advertising dollars to dupe investors into believing. You’ve seen that commercial about people carrying around a sign noting their net worth goals. It’s a nice thought but the real world will never let the vast majority of them come close to achieving their “number.”  Ask any successful business person what was his or her key to success and they will say managing “cash flow” properly.

No one has understood the importance of making money work for you versus you working trying to make money than banks. What do they manufacturer or produce? Zip! Willie Sutton was a famous bank robber and was quoted as saying, “I rob banks because that’s where the money is.” Willie was half right, but instead of robbing them he should have opened one.

Banks open their doors and allow you to come in and deposit your money with them. They don’t even have to offer toasters anymore for you to keep it there and with such little interest paid these days one should get something much more than a toaster. Did you know the average deposit stays in a bank long enough for them to lend that money out 3 or four times at different interest rates charged to the borrower depending on what kind of loan they took out? If they don’t get crazy with their loans, banks have mastered making one dollar do the work of several with little or no risk. Our process shows you how to be like the banks, have similar very low risk and best of all, live a much better lifestyle.

If you’re looking to turn $1 into a $100, please look elsewhere. As I stated earlier, this process can’t turn a Chevy into a Cadillac, but it can make your Chevy run far more efficiently and effectively and with much less risk than you’re currently undertaking.

The only qualification is the necessity to have a single or family income of at least $150k a year and/or a net worth of at least $1 million+. If you meet these qualifications and live in North America, email me at peter@grandich.com and I will tell you how to get started with the process.

Now, if you don’t meet the qualifications or don’t wish to move forward at this time, please allow me to recommend two books written by financial mentor, Frank Congilose.

I look forward to hearing from those who meet the qualifications and truly are serious about reaching their financial goals.