Stocks & Equities

A Blessing In Disguise; Taking Advantage Of A Falling Stock Market

 

  • UnknownDon’t let the Bear send you into a panic frenzy
  • Using a typical hedge strategy with options and futures
  • Taking advantage of lower prices to rebalance your portfolio

 

Bear markets when they happen are never a pleasant event for any investor. Long only investors especially tend to be the worst hit. If you are wealthy enough to invest in Hedge Funds you may be damaged less, if you chose the right managers and the right strategies. Despite the pain felt, market corrections if managed correctly, should be seen as an opportunity.

Many investors run for the door when markets become volatile, meaning the turn south sharply. Yet that may not be the best choice. There are certainly more alternatives to simply cutting your positons in stocks. If you have built up a portfolio of stocks you feel will perform brilliantly and have an exciting future ahead you may not be willing to take losses simply because the market is making a correction.

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Intepreting Today’s Message Of The Market

Today, U.S. stock markets got a boost off yesterday’s lows. That came right on time for stock bulls, and in line with our expectations, as explained yesterday. But where do we go from here, and how important was today’s bounce?

As the first chart shows, yesterday’s closing was at the day’s lows, not a very good sign. So the bounce of today, with a close near the day’s highs, as seen on the last bar (on the right) was a mandatory step for bulls not to lose control. For now, a higher low has been set in the key U.S. stock index.

SPX 14 Jan 2016

….for larger charts and more analysis go HERE

Is The Bull Market On The Ropes?

 

If last week felt like an odd start to a new trading year, there was a good reason; it was odd. From CNBC

This was the worst year-starting five trading sessions ever in the history of both the S&P 500 and the older Dow Jones Industrial Average (created in the middle of 1896).

Worst First Day Of The Year Since…

The first trading day of the year was the worst since 2008 for the Dow. In 2008, the S&P 500 lost over 36%. For the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, it was the worst first trading day of the year since 2001. In calendar years 2001 and 2002, the S&P 500 lost 11.85% and 21.97% respectively. Unfortunately, as outlined in this week’s stock market video, the stats above are not the only similarities to 2001 and 2008, telling us it is prudent to double-check our bear market contingency plans.

ST16JAN11NYAFRICLOSEF

….read more HERE

 

The Sling Shot Move — How Long Would it Last?

ECM-2015-20

Our Panic Cycles began to turn up this week moving into next week. If we penetrate last year’s low of 15370, then we may see a drop to retest the major support area in the 12875-13100 area. We should break the market FIRST and this appears to be setting up for the extension beyond 2017. A monthly closing below 16013 will signal that the market should crack and then we will be set up for a really wild rise.

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JPM: “Use Any Bounces As Selling Opportunities”

Our view is that the risk-reward for equities has worsened materially. In contrast to the past 7 years, when we advocated using the dips as buying opportunities, we believe the regime has transitioned to one of selling any rally. Yes, stocks had a rough time most recently, and some of the tactical indicators, such as Bull-Bear at -16 which is at the bottom of its trading range, argue for a short-term respite. Clearly, equities are unlikely to keep falling in a straight line, with periodic rebounds likely. However, we believe that one should be using any bounces as selling opportunities.

20151113 JPM

 

….continue reading HERE