Timing & trends

The Growth of the Anti-Establishment Movement Outside the West

205 132868Donald Trump’s receiving of the Republican nomination for President, the UK voting to leave the EU and Syriza coming to power in Greece, are part of what has become known as the anti-establishment movement. This trend has also been seen in countries outside the ‘West’ with India and the Philippines electing candidates that could be labeled as the anti-establishment.

…continue reading HERE

 

…related from Martin Armstrong:

New York Times Proves it is the Establishment – End of Independence

Live From The Trading Desk: Current Risks In The Reach For Yield

For most of us the investment markets are one big puzzle. Victor Adair makes sense of it by talking about the big trends moving markets. One such trend is the complacency in the interest rate markets.

…Michael’s Editorial: Oh No Not Again

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New York Times Proves it is the Establishment – End of Independence

JournalismThe lack of integrity among the press is becoming just in your face. The New York Times published an amazing endorsement of Hillary Clinton on Saturday in hopes that they can persuade their readers to overlook all the scandals of Hillary and make her President. I would understand not endorsing either, but to ignore the law, the corruption, and common sense, merely reveals that the New York Times cannot be trusted. This is even more astonishing from the standpoint that the New York Times was the paper to break the story on Hillary’s emails on March 2nd, 2015. It was also the New York Times that published “2008 Crisis Deepened the Ties Between Clintons and Goldman Sachs”explaining how Hillary came to help rescue their image. It was the New York Times that reported how Hillary kept changing her story on the emails. To simply ignore all of this as if it never happened leaves one speechless at the political attempt to manipulate the public. This is what the New York Times actually wrote in their endorsement:

“In any normal election year, we’d compare the two presidential candidates side by side on the issues. But this is not a normal election year. A comparison like that would be an empty exercise in a race where one candidate — our choice, Hillary Clinton — has a record of service and a raft of pragmatic ideas, and the other, Donald Trump, discloses nothing concrete about himself or his plans while promising the moon and offering the stars on layaway. (We will explain in a subsequent editorial why we believe Mr. Trump to be the worst nominee put forward by a major party in modern American history.)”

To call Trump the “worst nominee put forward by a major party in modern American history” is just astonishing and leaves one with their mouth wide-open. Emails, corruption, Clinton Foundation taking money from foreign governments when Hillary is Secretary of State all means nothing. If this is honorable showing trustworthiness, then the old saying people judge others by themselves means this is what the New York Times also thinks is acceptable. This endorsement is clearly a desperate attempt by the ESTABLISHMENT to rig the election just as the media did in Britain to convince the people they should surrender their dignity to Brussels. There too the press predicted a major depression and collapse of Britain if they people voted to exit Europe. Nothing of the sort has unfolded and the scare tactics of mainstream media in that instance was deplorable. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse have all had to revise their forecasts that called for the end of the world if BREXIT passed.

napoloen-waterlooThe New York Post has said it best. This election has captured in their bold headline: American journalism is collapsing before our eyes. Indeed, this is the end of mainstream media. If Trump wins, this victory may see the decline and fall of mainstream media once and for all. As the younger generation abandon such media, even Warren Buffett has said he would only invest in local community newspapers.  USA Today has been offering buy-outs for employees with over 15 years on the job who are 55 or older to reduce the work force.

TV began to displace newspapers with their nightly news programs and coverage of political debates live. That started the process of the decline and fall of newspapers. Now the internet is here and the younger generations do not buy newspapers. The lifeblood of media has been advertising revenue. That has turned the tide. There is a growth of 15.7% in advertising revenue, but it is all on the internet with not increases appearing for TV or newspapers. This biased and foolish endorsement of Hillary by the New York Times has simply exposed that they are part of the ESTABLISHMENT and this is really what is under attack in these elections on a global basis. It is like supporting Napoleon in the Battle of Waterloo on that fateful day of June 18th, 1815.

 

….also Michael’s Editorial: Oh No Not Again

Make The Game-Changing Tech World Pay

 We’re all familiar with the changing tech world but how can you make a few bucks on it? PI Financial’s Blake Corbet spends all day finding the answer – and he’s got three beauties for you to consider.

Don’t miss Michael’s Editorial: We’re living in the economic version of Groundhog Day

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Dennis Gartman: The Harsh Reality For Oil & Stocks Markets Heading For Zimbabwe -Land

Summary:

Crude Oil: Certainly a supply side story as fracking expands into all oil producing countries.
 
ZimbabweIndustrialIndexStock Market: Thinks we are zooming into the “Zimbabwe-isation” of the global capital markets. 
 
Currencies: Euro down, all dollars strong relative, especially the US Dollar

Anytime you get the chance to find out what Dennis Gartman is doing in the markets it’s a moment to seize. This is a man who is passionate about markets, waking up at 1am EST every day for 29 years to prepare his Daily market letter for publication at 5am EST. Dennis has more than 10 of thousand professional traders who take his letter every day. 

Recently Money Talks interviewed Dennis. Here are had two really unique views, one on crude oil,  the other on the stock market. First:
 
Crude Oil: It’s a Supply Story
 
“Fracking has changed the world, there’s not a question about that. We continue to find frackable lands here in the United States, Apache just announced a huge new find in Southwest Texas that they think might have as many as two billion recoverable barrels of crude oil.  
 
If you think the United States is the only place allowed to have frackable land ‘you’re naive’. 
 
There’s trackable land to be found everywhere around the world. Argentina just announced a huge new find of frackable capable oil that may have 2-3 billion barrels of crude. If argentina has frackable land, Canada, Saudi Arabia Arabia, Australia and Russia will prove to have a frackable land. 
 
All will be the beneficiaries of the economies of scale that American frackers have learned on their own driving the cost of production down. Let’s say four years ago good fracking land probably required 70-75 dollars per barrel to make it profitable. Now you can produce crude oil at 18-20 dollars a barrel, and that will be even lower next year”
 
Better technologies can’t be anything other than bearish. The usage of crude oil is steadily downward. My first car was a 1965 plymouth valiant that got 7 miles to the US gallon. New cars nowadays get 30-35, even 40 miles to the gallon. Five years from now they’ll be getting 50 miles per gallon.” 
 
“We are finding more crude, we are using it more efficiently, so the world I think is going to be abundantly supplied with crude over the course of the next 20 years.. That can’t be anything other than bearish for the crude oil market.”

 
The Stock Market Big Picture
 
Dennis told us he doesn’t like the stock market. He thinks that stock prices are extremely high, extremely overpriced. He likes cash. In an original view, he thinks:
 
 “the propensity on the part of economic activity to increase, will put downward pressure upon stock prices because money will move from the capital markets into plant, equipment and employment. I think that alone is going to be detrimental to share prices”
 
Well since the Fed’s latest pass on raising rates, Dennis just spelled out an interesting view 3 days ago:
 
“we are it seems to us, entering the period we shall call the “Zimbabwe-isation” of the global capital markets and we say that with all sincerity… and requisite trepidation… recalling that the Zimbabwe stock market led the world to the upside several years ago as the central bank there lost all control of its money supply and created a massive, rampant inflation that sent the Zimbabwe dollar into oblivion, but sent the Zimbabwe stock market soaring at the same time”
 
“We are there now, it seems to us, in the stock markets of the advanced world, with the monetary authorities continuing their expansionary policies and with “money” fleeing into the stock markets.
 
This will end badly of course, These things always do, but that point may be months… perhaps even years, or maybe only days… away. Until then, the music’s still playing; the champagne’s flowing and as Wayne and Garth used to say, “Party on!” 
 
A Quick Note on Currencies:
 
Dennis thinks the euro is is going to get demonstrably weaker against the US Dollar because of the political circumstances in Europe which are as fractious as he has ever seen them.
 
“Two years ago that we were actually trading the euro above 140 to the dollar, now here we are at 112 and I think we’re heading on our way towards par if not below”
 
“The European economy itself demonstrably weaker than the US economy, and the political environs more confusing. We have separatist movements starting in a number of countries, we have far-right versus the far left in a manner I haven’t seen in quite a long period of time and the main country of Europe, Germany, is having as many political problems as we have ever seen it having in the past decade or two.”
 
“So i think that on balance the US dollar, and by extension dollars generally, the Canadian, the Australian and the New Zealand will do demonstrably better than the euro over the course of the next six months to one year. Even going forward  two years I think the dollars will get stronger.”

 
Dennis’s 29 years of writing The Gartman Letter has a bit to go to match Richard Russell’s continuous writing on the markets for 57 years. Who knows, Dennis might make it as there no doubt about his enthusiasm!