Fraud as a way of life caters an extravagant banquet of consequences.

This can’t be said politely: the entire status quo in America is a fraud.

The financial system is a fraud.

The political system is a fraud.

National Defense is a fraud.

The healthcare system is a fraud.

Higher education is a fraud.

The mainstream corporate media is a fraud.

Culture–from high to pop–is a fraud.

Need I go on?

We have come to accept fraud as standard operating practice in America, to the detriment of everything that was once worthy. why is this so?

….continue reading HERE

Related:

Greenspan: Monetary policy has done everything it can

Time for another installment of “beware of weak minds”…

{mp3}grant/weakminds{/mp3}

Paul Krugman wrote an op-ed in the New York Times called “Sanders Over the Edge.” He’s been doing a lot of shovel work for the Hillary Clinton campaign lately, which is his right of course. The piece eventually devolves into a criticism of the character of Bernie Sanders, but it’s his take on the causes of the ’08 crash that really raises an eyebrow.

By way of making a criticism of the oft-repeated Sanders charge that the big banks need to be broken up, Krugman argues that banks were not “at the heart of the crisis.”…  CLICK HERE to read the complete article

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FRA Co-founder, Gordon T. Long is joined by Harry Dent to have a detailed discussion about the state of the global economy and how investors can be prepare themselves for the turmoils to come.

Harry S. Dent, Jr. is the Founder of Dent Research, an economic forecasting firm specializing in demographic trends. His mission is “Helping People Understand Change”. Using exciting new research developed from years of hands-on business experience, Mr. Dent offers unprecedented and refreshingly understandable tools for seeing the key economic trends that will affect your life, your business, and your investments over the rest of your lifetime.

Mr. Dent is also a best-selling author. In his book The Great Boom Ahead, published in 1992, Mr. Dent stood virtually alone in accurately forecasting the unanticipated boom of the 1990s and the continued expansion into 2007. In his new book, The Demographic Cliff, he continues to educate audiences about his predictions for the next great depression, especially between 2014 and 2019 that he has been forecasting now for 20 years. Mr. Dent is the editor of the Economy & Markets newsletter and has created the HS Dent Financial Advisors Network.

Mr. Dent received his MBA from Harvard Business School, where he was a Baker Scholar and was elected to the Century Club for leadership excellence. At Bain and Company he was a strategy consultant for Fortune 100 companies. He has also been the CEO of several entrepreneurial growth companies and a new venture investor. Since 1988 he has been speaking to executives and investors around the world. He has appeared on “Good Morning America”, PBS, CNBC, CNN, FOX, Bloomberg, and has been featured in USA Today, Barron’s, Investor’s Business Daily, Entrepreneur, Fortune, Success, US News and World Report, Business Week, The Wall Street Journal, American Demographics, Gentlemen’s Quarterly and Omni.

What is Financial Repression?

“Financial repression is how the central banks hijack the free market.”

Other than from the aftermath of WWII, this is the first time that governments around the world have just begun frantically printing money to offset the downturns. The most important thing to understand is that central banks do not just set short term rates; they print money and buy their own bonds to set long term rates to zero.

“When you are a baby boomer approaching retirement, due to financial repression you will get zero adjust for inflation returns. Baby boomers are being forced to go into the stock market on higher yield assets and get crucified.”

Pushing long term rates so low forces people to go into stocks and other financial assets as well as allows firms on Wall Street to leverage up. When this happens you get massive misallocation of investment, and have companies borrowing money to buy back their own stocks to engineer mergers that wouldn’t be possible without such low rates. This bubble we are in, which is greater than any we have been in before, is going to burst and when it does it will wipe out all the excess gains. This financial repression is just going to destroy wealth faster than it artificially built up. It comes down to central banks admitting that they created a bubble, but they won’t because nobody wants to take blame for it while they’re in office.

It is a lifetime consumer spending cycle. Most people do not enter the workforce until they’re 20 then they go on a huge spending cycle which eventually slows down at the age of 39 because people buy their largest home well before they peak in spending. We peak at age 46 and continue the trend because of automobile purchasing and especially with QE; the affluent people go to school longer which is followed by their kids and so on. Therefore peak spending for these people happens 6 years later, and it has been magnified due to QE since these are the same people who of the entire population are the ones who tend to own financial assets.

“The combination of financial repression, QE, and extreme income inequality has seriously butchered the middle class in America.”

It is a graph of the birth index adjusted for immigration, and then projected forward 46 years for the peak spending of the average person. This is why since 2008 governments have been doing endless QE and stimulus just to keep the bubble going enough so that the affluent people can at least continue spending. This demographic trend will continue to point down until 2022 which is when the next generation comes along. Authorities have been able to hold off the burst as long as they wealthy continue to spend, but they are not anymore.

“We are in a bad yield geopolitical cycle, and it is clearly getting worse and it will hit bottom at around 2020.”

The productivity that was created in the 1900s from inventions like the automobile and so on is not present today. Today our economic progression is being backed by Facebook and watching the new viral videos. The point is that these 4 cycles have turned down only twice in the last century before this. It was in the early 1930s, the great depression, and the next major stock crash in the mid 70’s. Governments are fighting the impending crash tooth and nail and have resorted to emergency measures such as zero interest rates and in some cases even negative interest rates.

“This is going to be the final bubble. It’s going to be like the great depression, like the 1974-1975 crash, and without a doubt it will be the worst stock market crash you will see in your lifetime and it is going to happen by roughly end of 2017.”

“This chart is for people who intend to sit in the market, hoping to get another 5-10%. From it we can see that since November 2014, we have gone nowhere and we are right now at the bottom of the rounder top and I am confident it will not go up from here.”

Europe going to be in deep trouble. Banks are failing in Italy like no tomorrow, and I predict by end of the year Italy will be the next Greece, effectively marking the end of the Euro Zone. They already have immigration problems, debt problems, and slowing growth despite endless stimulus.

China on the other hand, has the biggest stock market in the world and it crashed by 45% in 2 months, and I predict it is going to crash again by the end of this year. So what can the Fed and central banks in Europe do about that? Once that happens it is going to send a shockwave in commodities and especially real estate, since it is the Chinese after all who are buying all the cutting edge real estate throughout the world.

“The next US President might as well walk into office and openly admit that this is a bubble and talk about actions to deal with it, rather than being like his predecessors and claim job creation and economic growth; there is just no chance.”

How Can Investors Protect Themselves?

“Right now you have to get out and do not listen to your stock broker. This is not the time to be taking risk; it is the time to be prudent.”

The idea is to realize that this is a once in a lifetime reset and you have to simply get out of the way. Everything is a bubble that’s ready to pop, just simple get out of risk assets as much as you can. You can either gamble and get 5%-10% return or lose 60%-70% by end of 2017. Bubbles build on denial because everyone benefits, even the average person has a lower mortgage than car payments because of the bubble and zero interest rates. It is because of the fact that everyone benefits that everyone goes in denial.

Precious Metals and The Dollar

“This is a deflationary crisis, and it is the one time that gold will not do well.”

Gold is a bubble as well. Gold went up 8x in 10 years, there are not many bubbles bigger than the gold bubble and now it is bursting. It is bursting because a lot of the gold bubble happened after 2008 as a result of the crisis, and gold went up the most when people thought the massive money printing would lead to inflation but it didn’t. It didn’t because deflation is a trend; when debt bubbles deleverage, money that was created out of thin air disappears. Most of the time in cycles, we either have moderate or extreme inflation, but this is the one time we have deflation and therefore I do not want to be in gold or in commodities.

“The USD has been the best currency; it goes up versus other currencies as it did in 2008. We are still the best house in a bad neighborhood.”

China is going to be the biggest urban disaster in modern history. They have 250 million people that are not even registered citizens working low paying jobs that are primarily focused on building infrastructure for nobody. And when this crash comes, those people are done for.

When stocks crash, price earnings ratios collapse, and risk premiums go up on everything. So if I was in stocks, I would rather be in pharmaceuticals, health and wellness etc. These are the stocks to buy when the Dow goes down to 5500.

Abstract written by, Karan Singh

1. Gold continues to astound most analysts, as it moves relentlessly higher. Click on the chart to the right now. Double-click to enlarge this daily gold chart.
2. The triangle pattern in bullish play is perhaps best described as an “Ode To Awesomeness”. Note the inverse head and shoulders bottom pattern that has appeared. That should help drive the price up and out of the triangle pattern, to my $1305 target area.
3. It feels like the bullion banks barely finish settling one price manipulation lawsuit, and then another begins. Please  click here now. Scotiabank, which is also facing lawsuits for price manipulation in the United States, is now facing a massive class action lawsuit in Canada.
4. Please  click here now. While the bullion banks of the West are facing a barrage of lawsuits, China has launched the SGE gold price fix system, and the launch may be part of the reason gold is moving strongly higher this morning.
5. Please  click here now. Although the trading departments of many banks are facing lawsuits for manipulation, many bank analysts are doing superb research, and Joni Teves at UBS is one of them.
6. The UBS Global Macro department research team can move significant institutional liquidity flows with its reports, and Joni is clearly very positive about gold right now.
7. Please  click here now. Not to be outdone, technical analysts at HSBC have set a $1500 target for gold!
8. In late 2015, the price of sugar began to rise. I’ve noted that significant rallies in sugar tend to lead quite dramatic rallies in silver.
9. Sugar has started to rally again. Is silver poised to follow, and launch a “barnburner” type of upside rally? For the possible answer to that question, please  click here now. Double click to enlarge. This daily chart of silver looks spectacular!
10. The breakout this morning is likely SGE-related, and there’s an outside possibility that Scotiabank is winding down some short silver trades, to do in-house window dressing for the lawsuit.
11. Regardless, I think the entire Western silver community deserves a real “Wheeeeeeeeeeeeee!” moment in time. That time is likely here! From a technical standpoint, silver is staging a significant breakout from a large inverse head and shoulders bottom formation.
12. Over the years, I’ve argued emphatically that the entire Western gold and silver community should generally avoid the action of “chasing price”, but if ever there was a time to do so, it’s right now.
13. With the “blastoff” action in play in the silver market this morning, momentum enthusiasts should be ready to buy the breakout right now.
14. I have a short-term target of $18, and if China’s soft landing morphs into the soft upside takeoff that I’m projecting, silver could move towards $25 and gold towards $1500. 
15. I will note that bank and IMF economists are already revising their GDP numbers for China to the upside, and rightly so. 
16. Please  click here now. Commodity trading is surging in China again. 
17. The jeweller strike is over in India, and the Akshaya Tritiya festival is approaching. Indian buying may also be a factor in this morning’s price action. 
18. That’s not really important. What’s very important is the approach of a good monsoon season, against the background of real world-leading GDP growth. 
19. Gold demand in India is set for a significant long-term rise, and with each day that passes, the SGE in China is going to work tirelessly to make price discovery better reflect real physical demand versus real physical supply. It’s not an event. It’s a process, and a very positive one for the long-term price of gold!
20. Please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge this dollar versus yen daily chart.. The main reason I sold a third of my physical silver for gold in 2011 was the “risk-on” signal being flashed by the US dollar against the yen.  
21. I bought that silver back in 2014, as the dollar began to peak against the yen, flashing a significant “risk-off” signal for the world. As one example, the US stock market rose strongly in the 2011 – 2014, and has since acted more like a wet noodle. The risk of an American stock market crash is now quite high.
22. I think the USD-yen relationship is on the verge of changing, because the fundamentals of the relationship are changing. The Abe/Kuroda team in Japan seem obsessed with managing a government debt crisis by raising taxes, buying stock market ETFs with more printed money, and perhaps reneging on principal payments to bondholders, after taking interest rates into negative territory.
23. The citizens of Japan are the world’s largest creditors, but their government is one of the world’s largest debtors. The debtors refuse to reduce debt and are engaging in reckless fiscal policy. This may be creating a situation where the next major rally in the dollar against the yen is not a risk-on signal for global stock markets, but a buy signal for gold!
24. Please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge this fabulous GDX daily chart. Gold stock enthusiasts should watch the $23 area closely. GDX is rising up from a bull flag pattern. If it moves above $23, the door is technically open, for a surge to my $28 -$30 target! 

Thanks! 

Cheers
st

Apr 19, 2016
Stewart Thomson  
Graceland Updates
website: www.gracelandupdates.com
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Stewart Thomson is a retired Merrill Lynch broker. Stewart writes the Graceland Updates daily between 4am-7am. They are sent out around 8am. The newsletter is attractively priced and the format is a unique numbered point form; giving clarity to each point and saving valuable reading time.

Risks, Disclaimers, Legal
Stewart Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The information provided by Stewart and Graceland Updates is for general information purposes only. Before taking any action on any investment, it is imperative that you consult with multiple properly licensed, experienced and qualifed investment advisors and get numerous opinions before taking any action. Your minimum risk on any investment in the world is 100% loss of all your money. You may be taking or preparing to take leveraged positions in investments and not know it, exposing yourself to unlimited risks. This is highly concerning if you are an investor in any derivatives products. There is an approx $700 trillion OTC Derivatives Iceberg with a tiny portion written off officially. The bottom line:

Are You Prepared?