1. You Must Plan for the Next Financial Crisis BEFORE it Happens, Not While it is Happening

by JS Kim

“Most people seem to believe that they have to lose a great deal of money when crises materialize and forget that it is absolutely possible to prosper during crises as well.”

….continue reading HERE

2. A crucial cycle is presently occurring!

by Chris Vermeulen – The Gold & Oil Report

“the investment community seems much closer to panic and hysteria than it does to euphoria and optimism. It would not take much more to depress the markets further;  however, it would take a lot to make it feel confident and secure about the Fed’s ability to stay ahead of “the curve” and manage the transition smoothly.

“Bearish trends of this week are extremely potent”

….read it all HERE

3. Buy Gold, Sell the S&P

by Gary Christenson – The Deviant Investor

Buy low, sell high!  The better choices are buying gold and selling the S&P 500 Index and relevant stocks.

Why?

Examine the graph of the ratio of Gold to S&P 500 Index for the past 25 years.  The ratio is low now and likely will correct higher.  I think gold will move higher and the S&P will move lower.

….view more analysis and charts HERE

Here are today’s videos and charts (double click to enlarge):

T-Bonds & US Dollar Shortsale Opportunity Video Analysis

Dow Industrials & Transports Video Analysis

Gold & Silver Trading Range Comparison Video Analysis

GDX, GDXJ, & GLDX Upside Rally Video Analysis

Swing Trade Charts Video Analysis

Key Precious Metal Stocks Upside Breakout Video Analysis

Here are some additional precious metal sector stocks that are sector leaders and laggards, with important price and volume action:
  
Key Precious Metal Stocks Versus GDX Video Analysis

Thanks, 

Morris 

The SuperForce Proprietary SURGE index SIGNALS:

25 Surge Index Buy or 25 Surge Index Sell: Solid Power.
50 Surge Index Buy or 50 Surge Index Sell: Stronger Power.
75 Surge Index Buy or 75 Surge Index Sell: Maximum Power.
100 Surge Index Buy or 100 Surge Index Sell: “Over The Top” Power.

Stay alert for our surge signals, sent by email to subscribers, for both the daily charts on Super Force Signals at www.superforcesignals.com and for the 60 minute charts at www.superforce60.com

About Super Force Signals:
Our Surge Index Signals are created thru our proprietary blend of the highest quality technical analysis and many years of successful business building. We are two business owners with excellent synergy. We understand risk and reward. Our subscribers are generally successfully business owners, people like yourself with speculative funds, looking for serious management of your risk and reward in the market.

Frank Johnson: Executive Editor, Macro Risk Manager.
Morris Hubbartt: Chief Market Analyst, Trading Risk Specialist.

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Tomorrow afternoon the entire world will know whether or not Janet Yellen will raise the official Fed Reserve Federal Funds interest rate for the first time since June 29, 2006 — a very long nine years ago.

And the first time it’s made any kind of move on rates since it lowered its discount rate in February 2010.

I personally think Yellen should hold off. The U.S. economy is not strong enough, foreign economies, especially Europe, are in shambles, and the dollar is already soaring.

A rate rise now threatens to derail the U.S. economy, push Europe further underwater and send the dollar soaring, worsening global deflation.

Be that as it may, today I want to clarify something I believe is very important: The myth of higher interest rates. That rising interest rates are bad for the stock market, and that declining rates are good for stocks.

If you’re like any average investor, you’ve heard that theory literally hundreds, if not thousands, of times. Tune into any media show today, and I’m sure you’ll hear it at least once, if not more.

Most stock brokers, and the majority of analysts and newsletter editors, espouse the same causal relationship between interest rates and stock prices.

But the fact of the matter, the plain truth, is that there is no “standard relationship” between interest rates and stock prices. Period.

Consider the period from March 2000 to October 2002, where the Federal Funds rate declined from 5.85% to 1.75%, and the Nasdaq plunged 78%.

Put simply, stocks and interest rates went down together! Exactly the opposite of what most would expect.

Or the period from March 2003 to October 2007, where the Federal Funds rate more than tripled and rose from 1.25% to

4.75% … And the Dow exploded higher, launching from 7,992 to 13,930 — a 74% gain. Stocks and interest rates went higher together!

The fact is that the relationship between interest rates and stock prices varies considerably depending upon a host of factors, including the value of the dollar, inflation and where the economy is in terms of the economic cycle.

The same myth applies to interest rates and gold: Higher interest rates, most pundits claim, is bad for gold.

But that is almost entirely wrong. Most strong bull markets in precious metals have occurred with rising interest rates, not declining rates.

There are numerous examples, the most vivid of which was the late 1970’s bull market in gold and silver which occurred simultaneously to a massive rise in interest rates. Once rates peaked, so did gold and silver.

Now, to a few other items on my list for today. No matter what the Fed decides tomorrow:

First, the long-term trends for precious metals remain down. Neither gold, silver, platinum nor palladium has bottomed. That said, don’t be surprised if you see a short-term rally.

Second, the long-term picture for the U.S. equity markets remains exceptionally bullish. That is, once the pullback that is still very much in progress is completed, probably in mid-October at much lower levels.

Third, the bull market in the U.S. dollar — and conversely, bear markets in most other currencies — remains intact.

Fourth, deflation in the commodity sector is not yet over. With the mere exception of natural gas, for every commodity I look at, my system models point still lower.

Fifth, is global unrest. Per my war models, global unrest is about to accelerate higher, yet again. Driven by the refugee crisis in Europe, by ISIS, by currency devaluations outside the U.S., by rising taxes and an increased hoarding of cash (dollar bullish by default).

Sixth, is the great sovereign-debt crisis that is about to explode onto the scene. The evidence is overwhelming now. From Trump’s popularity, in the sense that he’s an outsider vilifying career politicians, to Bernie Sanders proposing $18 trillion in new spending (where’s the money to come from?) …

To the refugee crisis, which will break the European Union’s back … to our own debt ceiling which will hit Oct. 1 …

To the patently unpayable debts and IOUs of Europe, Japan and the U.S.

So beware, the waters are going to get rough ahead, increasingly rough. But they’ll also be loaded with many opportunities.

Best wishes and stay safe,

Larry

A crucial Shimitah cycle is presently occurring! It is a cycle that was first observed by the Jewish people while living in the Holy Land. Every cycle culminates in a Sabbatical year, (7th year) known as Shemitah; literally translated means “to release.”  This Shemitah 7 year cycle is occurring at the same time that the American economy appears to be “on life support”.

After so much excitement within the last couple of weeks, the markets have been somewhat anticlimactic. Which way will we go? Bullish or bearish? I believe, we are totally CONFIRMED bearish, and expecting a re-test of previous lows. We may even see, within the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a lower low, down around 15,000. Lately, the volatility has stabilized and THE MARKETS HAVE BEEN CONSOLIDATING. The base is about 1,000 points so that when the breakout does occur, I expect a move of about that same size. When I decipher my charts, it looks as though this breakout should happen within the month of September, and/or early October 2015. If it breaks bearish, the news media will likely blame it on the FOMC meeting, and if it breaks bullish, they will, most likely, blame it on the Federal Reserve.

This nation has never experienced six years of hyper-low interest rates before! What impact has this had on the restructuring of the balance sheets of insurers and banks? In striving to match assets and liabilities, across 24 consecutive quarters of near-zero rates, what deception might financial institutions have inflicted (reaching-for-yield through derivative positions) that could backfire, and trigger a financial crisis!

It will result in a strong price movement. If the market thinks honestly, the investment community seems much closer to panic and hysteria than it does to euphoria and optimism. It would not take much more to depress the markets further;  however, it would take a lot to make it feel confident and secure about the Fed’s ability to stay ahead of “the curve” and manage the transition smoothly.

The SPX is very similar, in structure, in relation to the Dow. It appears as if it was ready to complete its triangle formation, but the pattern has continued to expand into a symmetrical triangle.  A triangle normally forecasts a continuation of the trend, which existed prior to its formation; more weakness ahead continues to be the logical forecast. This is also supported by important cycles which should not make their lows until late this September and/or early October 2015.

Since the SPX reached 1,865, it has worked its’ way into a consolidation pattern, which has the appearance of a triangle. If it is a symmetrical triangle, the odds are in favor of a continuation of the selling, after the pattern is completed. This could happen as early as this coming Thursday, September 17^th, 2015, when the Fed will announce its decision on interest rates, but since the indexes could also stage a surprise move, in the opposite direction, it is best to wait until we are past that critical period and before hazarding a short-term forecast.

The NASDAQ has a slightly different formation. This one looks like an ascending triangle. Statistically, there is not much difference between ascending and descending triangles. Outside of this triangle formation, the NASDAQ looks like the others do, for the most part. The 100 and 200 simple moving averages have not yet crossed bearish; however, they are headed sideways. I am foreseeing the area around 4,850, as resistance.  Otherwise, I see much of the same signals as the other two indexes.

Global Stock markets had modestly rallied last week, following their most serious dramatic plunge since 2011; which lasted from July 20th, 2015 into August 26th, 2015 (declines of over 15%) which occurred in that brief  five week period within most of the world’s indexes. Some were much worse. The German DAX, for instance, fell nearly 21% within that time frame, and down nearly 25% from its yearly high, in April 2015. The Chinese Shanghai Index plunge was even more disturbing. Prices dropped nearly 45% from their yearly high of June 15th, 2015. Thus, a rally from that first leg down was well overdue, which has now lasted nearly three weeks.

However, the markets’ form has been unimpressive, and more indicative of a corrective retracement within a bear market, rather than the start of a new bull campaign. This week’s highly anticipated Fed announcement of a rate hike, which is due out on Thursday, September 17th, 2015, nearly guarantees that the bullish or bearish argument in equities, around the world, will be revealed. One course would set the indexes on a bullish trajectory and the other on a bearish one.  The rallies off of the lows of August 24^th through the 26^th of 2015, seem to be losing momentum. Not that they ever had very much to begin with. There have been sharp up days, but, in almost all instances (like last week) they were quickly followed by sharp down days. We are all currently waiting for Dr. Yellen’s announcement.  This should be a rather shocking announcement to hear, globally! If one thinks that some world leaders have been judgmental in their policies and behaviors, then you have not seen anything yet, unlike what you are about to witness now, well into 2016, and even into 2017.

While the stock market appears to be on hold during this week’s Fed meetings, gold and silver were also unimpressive. Gold fell below $1100.00/oz., again, during Friday’s session, September 11^th, 2015. GLD should retrace itself down to 100 before any BULLISH/BUY confirmation will be given.  Silver tried to rally above $15.00/oz., but could not do so after Wednesday, September 9^th, 2015, and began a retreat down to $14.25/oz. during Friday’s trade.

Bearish trends of this week are extremely potent. They coincide with the Fed meeting this Thursday, September 17th, 2015, which is expected to result in dramatic market moves. These spurts may still be short-lived, but the amplitude, in any direction, is likely to be both sharper and greater than it is, in any given day. Possibly, two or three days.

The Bank of China devalued the Yuan and depegged it from the US Dollar, most likely, because the leaders of China did not want the Fed to raise US interest rates. Higher US interest rates mean a higher US Dollar value. We are still in a global race to the bottom in currency values, as well as we are in the currency wars  zero interest rates policy era of the continued quantitative easing. A rising currency is seen as hurting a nation’s balance of trade. Hence, the unexpected surprise move made by China, has temporarily worked, on a short-term basis. It had paralyzed the Fed’s expected action to raise interest rates. The Federal Reserve has delayed the expected rate hike, until now. If they do not raise their bench mark interest rates, the US risks the possibility of negative interest rates.

I foresee the “hidden signs” that the Federal Reserve will slightly raise its bench market interest rate, which will result in the selling of stocks, following their announcement.

Trade with me and profit from this cycle: www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

Chris Vermeulen