Timing & trends

This video discusses the weekly charts of the stock market, oil, Euro, Dollar, Yen and Gold.

 

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The 3 Most Popular Stories of the Week

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1. One Of Richard Russell’s Last And Most Shocking Predictions Is Now Unfolding

“I believe a great speculative third phase lies ahead for this bull market. The coming third phase will see the stock market climb far higher than even the bulls think possible. In the third phase of a bull market, usually more money is made than in the first two phases combined.

…read more HERE

2. Zinc and the Base Metals Are Telling Us Something Important

For most of the last six years, the commodity sector has been a great one to avoid. After hitting an all-time high in early 2011, the Thomson Reuters CRB Commodity Index tumbled 60% to a 15-year low. Many individual commodities plummeted more than 80%

But the CRB Index finally hit rock bottom early last year.

….continue HERE

3. Mohamed El-Erian – Which Asset Classes are Most Vulnerable

The US economy is gaining momentum, on a standalone basis and as part of a synchronized pickup in global growth. This process would be turbocharged were Congress able to work with the administration to pass pro-growth measures, including tax reform and infrastructure.

….read it all HERE

ECM Turning Point this Weekend

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The Turning Point on the ECM is this weekend. We do happen to have a Directional Change next week in the Dow with the next turning point due the week of 12/04 and that is followed by the week of 12/18. What is most curious, is the fact that the Dow, Euro, Gold, and Oil all have the same timing targets, with oil showing the week of 12/04 is the strongest.

We are witnessing the global markets beginning to align. This is implying that international expectations are starti9ng to dominate domestic or isolated market fundamentals.

We do not expect this turning point to be a monumental one. What this reflects is the markets are starting to align preparing for 2018 and the beginning of a new round of fun and games.

….also from Martin:

Fed Admits is Does Not Understand The Markets

and

EU Concern Rising About Italian Debt

All The Old World Systems Are Being Deliberately Torn Down

As we approach the holiday season many people turn to thoughts on tradition, heritage, principles, duty, honor and family. They consider the accomplishments and even the failures of the past and where we are headed in the future. For most of the year, the average American will keep their heads in the sands of monotony and decadence and distraction. But during this time, even in the midst of the consumption frenzy it has been molded into, people tend to reflect, and they find joy, and they find worry.

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What perhaps does not come to mind very often though are the institutions and structures that provide the “stability” by which our society is able to continue in a predictable manner. While many of these institutions are not built with the good of the public in mind, they often indirectly secure a foundation that can be relied upon, for two or three generations, while securing power for the establishment. The problem is, the establishment is never satisfied with a static or semi-peaceful system for very long. They are not satisfied by being MOSTLY in control, they seek total control. Thus, they are often willing to create chaos and crisis and even tear down old structures that previously benefited them in order to gain something even greater (and more oppressive for the rest of us).

…..continue reading HERE

…also from ZeroHedge

Chinese Stocks Plummet: Shanghai Tumbles Most In 17 Months As Bond Rout Spreads

Tesla Approaches Terminal Decline

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– Financial performance deteriorates – structural unprofitability likely.

– Most cash raised recently is already burnt – next equity sale looms.

– Institutional ownership declines – distribution continues.

– Management churn accelerates – corporate culture looks damaged.

– Only the story matters – the stock remains a trade vehicle.

Here we are, seven months later, and Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) financial performance deteriorates at an alarming rate. Bearish macro scenarios, always just around the corner since 2011, refuse to play out and Queen TINA and King FOMO remain enthroned. The much anticipated interest rate assault by central banks is further delayed. And once it arrives, it will do so in rather piecemeal fashion, unlike the infamous macro-scaremongers suspect. No surprise then that the Panglossian valuation of Tesla abides, while journalists and analysts alike continue falling for every new-fangled non-profit idea emerging from Palo Alto.

And then, as long as 1) wealthy consumers in western nations but also China are eager to seek indulgence by way of green-washing and, 2) are in search of a Steve Jobs replacement persona onto which they can project their hopes for a gleaming future and, 3) are disillusioned with the establishment and its leaders, the company will likely succeed to raise cash again. Some say it might already be too big to fail.

The Tesla narrative is based on an illusion, a contradictio in adjecto – the promise that humankind can shop and consume itself into a sustainable future. However, even a million Teslas on the world’s roads will not impact the environment for better or worse. It is a systemic issue. The Financial Times agrees. Sustainability and promoting the purchase of raw-material consuming heavyweight products are mutually exclusive. There is no right life in the wrong, to paraphrase Theodor Adorno.

At the time of writing, the company’s precarious financial position shows that it remains a bottomless pit. Let’s go in.

….continue reading HERE