Emerging Market Currency Waterfall

Posted by Mark Jasayko, CFA, Portfolio Manager

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McIver Wealth Management Consulting Group / Richardson GMP Limited
The Crash in Emerging Market Currencies – Lead by Argentina

It’s clear now that the equities markets in Canada, the U.S., and Europe are getting spooked about the situation in the Emerging Markets.

One of the focal points has been on the currencies in the Emerging Markets that appear to suffer whenever there is more attention on the “Tapering” of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing (money-printing).  These markets were major beneficiaries of QE as indicated by the growth in their Current Account Surpluses whenever the Fed created liquidity over the past couple of years.  Amusingly, the politicians in the Emerging Market Countries complained that there was too much capital flowing into their economies as the Fed printed money.  I wonder if they are familiar with the old saying “Be careful what you wish for.”

 

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