
John Maynard Keynes once wrote what may be one of the most insightful observations on financial markets ever conceived:
We have reached the third degree where we devote our intelligence to anticipating what average opinion expects the average opinion to be. And there are some, I believe, who practice the fourth, fifth, and higher degrees.
Now, what exactly is he talking about?
While it sounds like Keynes may have been practicing some rare form of martial arts, or Zen meditation, he was actually talking about financial markets … in particular, how to predict them.