“I do not know if they [the Fed] will announce it… I know they are going to print more money. They already are. If you look at their balance sheets, you will see that something is happening, assets are building on their balance sheets and they are not coming from the tooth fairy. So I do not know whether they will announce it or not. They are a little bit embarrassed because they announced QE1 and QE2, and it did not work. So they may try to discuss it. They may just continue to do it without getting egg on their face again, but they are going to print money, they are all going to print money. It is the wrong thing to do, but that is all they know to do.”
When asked about the possibility of more shocks from the Eurozone, Rogers said:
“The worst may be behind us for this week but no, there are going to be more problems coming out of Europe. You have got countries that are essentially bankrupt. Nobody is dealing with the problems in Europe. You look at everyone out there. They all have higher debts and all of their projections, maybe Bulgaria and one or two more countries do not have higher debts in their projections, but everybody has got increasing debt. The solution to too much debt is not more debt. So now you are going to have plenty more problems coming out of Europe.”
Regarding the recent late August 2012 rally in Gold and Silver:
“I am not buying either at the moment, but if I had to buy one, I would prefer to buy silver. Silver is 40% off its all-time high, gold is only 10% to 15% off its all-time high. So on a historic basis, silver is much cheaper than gold. So if I had to buy one, I would buy silver, not gold.”
“Unfortunately all central banks know to do is to print money. Most of them will anyway, and you are going to see more money printing, more debasement of currency and therefore, the price of gold will go much higher over the course of the decade. Whether it goes up this year or not, I do not know. The situation with gold is that it has been up 11 years in a row without a down year, which is extremely unusual. I do not know of any asset that has been up 11 years without a down year. So gold is correcting. It would be normal for gold to continue to correct and have a down year. Such markets are supposed to do so. Whether it is going to do, that I do not know, but I do know that gold is going to be much higher over the decade.”
Jim Rogers on OIl:
“The surprise with oil is going to be how high it stays and how high it goes. We are running out of known reserves of oil. There may be a lot of oil in the world. If there is, we just don’t know where it is. So prices are going to stay high and go much higher. If America goes to war with Iran, they are going to skyrocket. If there is a big surprise, if Spain suddenly goes bankrupt out of the blue, then oil prices will collapse. If the prices collapse, I would suggest you to buy more. If there is anything that makes it go down, I would suggest buying it because until we find a lot of oil, prices will stay high and go much higher.
On the Overall Commodity Markets:
“I own more agriculture than most other commodities because the prices are still astonishingly low and in some cases agriculture has been in a terrible situation for 30 years now. Agriculture prices would be the best performers, I think.
The commodity bull market is going to on until there is a lot of new supply. You do not have much new supply in most commodities. Commodities are determined by supply and demand. You will certainly have corrections. You will have corrections in all bull markets, and you had several corrections in stocks which went up from 1982 until 2000. In 1987, stocks went down 40% to 80%. It was at the end of the bull market and you will certainly have corrections in commodities, but we are going to have shortages. If the world economy gets better, you will have big shortages. If the world economy does not get better, governments and central banks will print more money. It is a wrong thing to do, but that is what they do and that of course when currencies are being debased, the best way to protect yourself is with real assets.
Sugar is down about 70% or 75% from its all-time high. Sugar has been amazingly depressed in the past three-four decades. So sugar is going to go much much higher before this bull market is over. I do not have a clue for what happens this year.”
CRB IndexMonthly Commodity Futures Price Chart
With the Shanghai Composite at a new 3.5 year low, Chinese PMI data slow and Chinese consumers slowing. Rogers had this to say about China:
“China tried tightening for three years. It started back in 2009 or so to try to kill the inflation bubble and the property bubble. Rightly so in my view. Now they are starting to loosen up. I would not loosen up yet if I were China because they need to kill inflation totally and they need to totally pop the property bubble. But I am not China. They are going to do what they want to do and it looks as though since they have transferred to the Chinese public, they are going to start loosening up now which is still soon, if you ask me. Remember China has saved huge amounts of money for a rainy day. Once it starts raining, they are going to spend that money.”
More at the Economic Times HERE
