Jack Crooks: Shorting Oil: A trade!

Posted by Jack Crooks - Currency Currents

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For those bullish oil, Jack Crooks sees an immediate temporary decline of $5-$6 to the mid-fifties. Setting up a great opportunity to get long, or for those not willing to suffer a decline a chance to get out now – Robert Zurrer for Money Talks

 

We continue to be long-term bulls on oil; but we went short this afternoon for a trade. We are targeting down to the mid-50’s for oil on this EW chart setup.  We have overlaid the US dollar index (inverted in blue) so you can see the correlation.  (I.E. because the dollar index is inverted, when the blue line goes down it means the US dollar is actually increasing in value.  Thus, oil and the dollar are actually negatively correlated, as you likely know.)  The dollar staged a strong reversal rally this afternoon and looks as if it has more to run, even if this is not the major move we are expecting at some time.  Either way, we think oil short here is a good trade idea.  

shortoil

 

 go to http://www.blackswantrading.com or http://www.blackswantrading.com/blog/ for his free Currency Currents where this article appeared today.