The Bottom Line

Posted by Don Vialoux - Timing the Market

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Look for renewed seasonal buying opportunities in economic sensitive sectors following a brief period of weakness into January.

Economic News This Week

December Retail Sales to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Tuesday is expected to remain unchanged from November versus a gain of 0.7% in October. Excluding Auto Sales, December Retail Sales are expected to increase 0.4% versus a gain of 0.4% in November.

November Business Inventories to be released at 10:00 AM EST on Tuesday are expected to increase 0.3% versus a gain of 0.7% in October.

December Producer Prices to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Wednesday are expected to increase 0.3% versus a decline of 0.1% in November. Excluding food and energy, PPI is expected to increase 0.1% versus a gain of 0.1% in November.

January Empire Manufacturing Index to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Wednesday is expected to increase to 3.5 from 1.0 in December.

The Fed Beige Book is scheduled to be released at 2:00 PM EST on Wednesday

Weekly Jobless Claims to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Thursday are expected to increase to 333,000 from 330,000 last week.

December Consumer Prices to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Thursday are expected to increase 0.3% versus no change in November. Excluding food and energy, CPI is expected to increase 0.2% versus a gain of 0.2% in November

January Philadelphia Fed Index to be released at 10:00 AM EST on Thursday is expected to increase to 8.0 from 6.4 in December.

December Housing Starts to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Friday are expected to slip to 986,000 from 1,091,000 in November

December Industrial Production to be released at 9:15 AM EST on Friday are expected to increase 0.3% versus a gain of 1.1% in November. December Capacity Utilization is expected to increase to 79.1% from 79.0 in November.

January Michigan Sentiment Index to be released at 9:55 AM EST on Friday is expected to increase to 83.0 from 82.5 in December.

Equity Trends

The S&P 500 Index added 11.00 points (0.60%) last week. Trend remains up. The Index remains above its 20, 50 and 200 day moving averages. Short term momentum indicators are overbought and showing early signs of rolling over

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The TSX Composite Index added 198.66 points (1.47%) last week. Trend is up (Score: 1.0). The Index closed at a 2.5 year high. The Index remains above its 20, 50 and 200 day moving averages (Score: 1.0). Strength relative to the S&P 500 Index remains positive (Score: 1.0). Technical score based on the above indicators remains at 3.0 out of 3.0. Short term momentum indicators are overbought.

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