
Available Mon- Friday after 6:00 P.M. Eastern, 3:00 Pacific.
DOW + 14 on 1,100 net declines
NASDAQ COMP + 9 on 1,050 net declines
SHORT TERM TREND Bullish
INTERMEDIATE TERM TREND Bullish
STOCKS: The averages were higher on Monday. Better than expected earnings reports and a receding crisis with Greece got the credit.
But, for the second session in a row, the markets rallied on poor internals. This normally is not a good sign, especially when you consider that the S&P 500 is at a resistance zone. See the chart below.
GOLD: Gold was clobbered for $35. Rumors about Chinese bank selling. Greenback up again.
NEXT DAY: Tuesday. No prediction
CHART: The S&P 500 is fast approaching the peak of mid may, but the advance decline line is nowhere close (arrows). Also, the last two days have been atrocious. This doesn’t guarantee a decline, especially since earnings have been pretty good, but it makes us want to take profits on our trading profits.
BOTTOM LINE: (Trading)
Our intermediate term system is on a buy. We are long the SPY from 206.42. If there are more declines than advances at 3:45 EST, sell at the close.
System 7 We sold the SSO at 68.66 for a gain of 2.96. Stay in cash on Tuesday.
System 8 We are in cash. Stay there.
GOLD We are in cash. Stay there.
News and fundamentals: There were no important economic releases on Monday and there will be none on Tuesday.
Interesting Stuff Gold and silver keep getting clobbered. Gold has been declining for 4 years. Silver even more. But, we still see TV advertisements urging people to buy gold and silver. When these ads stop, perhaps we’ll get a bottom.
TORONTO EXCHAN GE: Toronto got clobbered for 217 points.
S&P/TSX VENTURE COMP: The TSX dropped 12.
BONDS: Bonds fell back slightly.
THE REST: The dollar keeps moving higher. Silver and crude oil were whacked pretty hard.
We’re on a buy for bonds as of June 11.
We’re on a buy for the dollar and a sell for the euro as of July 16.
We’re on a sell for gold as of July 2.
We’re on a sell for silver as of June 23.
We’re on a sell for crude oil as of July 16.
We’re on a sell for the Toronto Stock Exchange as of May 6.
We’re on a sell for the S&P\TSX Venture Fund as of October 30, 2014.
We are on a long term buy signal for the markets of the U.S., Canada, Britain, Germany and France.
Fri. |
Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
Thu. |
Fri. |
Mon. |
Evaluation |
|
5 day RSI S&P 500 |
54 |
66 |
70 |
69 |
76 |
77 |
85 |
– |
5 day RSI NASDAQ |
58 |
68 |
72 |
70 |
79 |
84 |
78 |
– |
McCl- lAN OSC. |
+41 |
+110 |
+140 |
+95 |
+148 |
+82 |
+20 |
0 |
Composite Gauge |
7 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
6 |
11 |
12 |
0 |
Comp. Gauge, 5 day m.a. |
11.6 |
9.6 |
9.4 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
7.4 |
9.2 |
0 |
CBOE Put Call Ratio |
1.00 |
.57 |
.97 |
.96 |
.88 |
.84 |
.91 |
0 |
VIX |
16.83 |
13.90 |
13.37 |
13.23 |
12.11 |
11.95 |
12.25 |
– |
VIX % change |
-16 |
-17 |
– 4 |
-1 |
– 8 |
-1 |
+3 |
0 |
VIX % change 5 day m.a. |
-2.8 |
– 6.4 |
-6.2 |
-7.2 |
-9.2 |
-6.2 |
-2.2 |
0 |
Adv – Dec 3 day m.a. |
+113 |
+1233 |
+1322 |
+547 |
+476 |
-116 |
-275 |
0 |
Supply Demand 5 day m.a. |
.48 |
.57 |
.54 |
.61 |
.80 |
.78 |
.69 |
0 |
Trading Index (TRIN) |
.88 |
.60 |
.73 |
1.28 |
1.23 |
1.32 |
1.12 |
0 |
S&P 500 |
2077 |
2100 |
2109 |
2107 |
2124 |
2127 |
2128 |
Plurality -3
|